BALTEX Baltic Sea Experiment World Climate Research Programme / Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment WCRP
GEWEX
A survey of the perceptions of regional political decision makers concerning climate change and adaptation in the German Baltic Sea region By Dennis Bray and Grit Martinez
International BALTEX Secretariat ISSN 1681-6471 Publication No. 50 September 2011
International BALTEX Secretariat Publication Series ISSN 1681-6471 International BALTEX Secretariat Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research Max-Planck-Str. 1 D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany www.baltex-research.eu
[email protected] Printed at Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research www.hzg.de Print copies of this report can be requested from the International BALTEX Secretariat
A survey of the perceptions of regional political decision makers concerning climate change and adaptation in the German Baltic Sea region by Dennis Bray Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Institute for Coastal Research E-mail:
[email protected]
and Grit Martinez Ecologic Institute Berlin E-mail:
[email protected] with acknowledgement to Andrew Reid and Zoritza Kiresiewa
Table of Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 3 Rationale for the survey ...................................................................................................... 3 The Survey Sample ............................................................................................................. 4 Presentation of Results........................................................................................................ 5 Figure 1. Box Plots ........................................................................................................ 5 Summary of Results............................................................................................................ 6 Figure 2: Regional Political Decision Makers Ranking of Environmental Issues on the German Baltic Coast ................................................................................ 6 Figure 3. Concern Over Climate Change and Sea Level Rise....................................... 7 Figure 4. Political Decision Makers and the Utility of Science..................................... 7 Figure 5. Sources of Information Used in the Decision Processes of Regional Political Decision Makers .............................................................................. 8 Figure 6. Scientific Outreach and Decision Makers Utilization .................................... 9 Figure 7. Perceptions of the Necessity of Adaptation Measures .................................. 10 Figure 8. Hindrance to the Implementation of Regional Adaptation Strategies.......... 11 Figure 9. Risks to Regional Economy and Population Health Without Adaptation Measures ...................................................................................................... 12 Figure 10. Assessing Individual Climate Change Impacts .......................................... 13 APPENDIX A................................................................................................................... 15 Demographics ............................................................................................................... 17 Environmental Concern ................................................................................................ 23 Communications ........................................................................................................... 29 Decision Making Considerations.................................................................................. 33 Impacts and Adaptation Strategies................................................................................ 47 Perceptions of Environmental Threat ........................................................................... 57
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
3
Abstract This survey is an assessment of the perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies held by regional political decision makers on the German Baltic Sea coast. It was undertaken within the frame of the project RADOST (Regional Adaptation Strategies for the German Baltic Sea Coast; www.klimzug-radost.de). Results from the survey of decision makers supplement a previous survey of scientists working on such issues in the Baltic regions, (SurBACC 2010: A survey of the perspectives of climate scientists concerning climate change and climate science in the Baltic Sea basin, available as International BALTEX Secretariat Publication Series, No. 48, October 2010). The two surveys enable a comparison concerning the similarities between the knowledge produced and the knowledge consumed, although such a comparison is not contained herein. Concerning communications of knowledge of climate change, science per se rated far below television or newspapers as a source of information for political decision makers. From the information employed in the construction of perceptions, the regional political decision makers were inclined to perceive the threat of climate change as more immanent than scientists. Priorities and hindrances concerning adaptation strategies are also indicated in the data.
Rationale for the survey In the past few years, science communication, especially for regional users of knowledge concerning climate change, has become a prominent issue. This has resulted in a significant number of ‘Climate Information Centers’ being established, with the goal of providing such information on a meaningful regional basis so as to assist regional decision makers on matters concerning adaption to climate change. To date there seems to be little in terms of evaluation of the match between knowledge production, knowledge dissemination and knowledge consumption. In conducting the survey, two objectives were met. First, using a large sample of regional decision makers, we explore, through the use of survey research, issues of compatibility between needs and availability of information. Topics include sources of information, perceived regional adaptation priorities, decision maker perceptions of what would make information more useable, barriers to adaptation implementation projects, and the influence of science in the determination of decisions, to name a few issues among many. Second, the survey assisted in building bridges for further communication with coastal authorities, for example, on the German Baltic Sea coast regarding local and regional responses to climate change. Results from the survey of decision makers supplement a previous survey of scientists working on such issues in the Baltic regions (SurBACC 2010: A survey of the perspectives of climate scientists concerning climate change and climate science in the Baltic Sea basin, available as International BALTEX Secretariat Publication Series, No. 48, October 2010). The two surveys enable a comparison concerning the similarities between the knowledge produced and the knowledge disseminated, although such a comparison is not contained herein. It is hoped that the combination of the two reports might provide a platform on which to build a more meaningful dialogue between climate science production, climate
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
science dissemination and climate science utilization at the regional level, enabling economic and efficient adaptation strategies.
The Survey Sample The survey sample consisted of two groups of individuals. The first group (constituting the overwhelming majority of those targeted) consisted of the heads of local governments in the German states of Schleswig-Holstein and MecklenburgVorpommern. The local governments targeted included cities, Gemeinden (municipalities) and Ämter (larger administrative divisions consisting of multiple Gemeinden and/or cities). Only those local governments located within the Baltic Sea drainage basin were targeted. The individuals targeted typically held the position of Bürgermeister (mayor) or Amtsvorsteher (superintendent of an Amt). These positions provide a survey sample of political stakeholders operating at a local level, while still possessing sufficiently significant decision-making power. This sampling method is known as saturation sampling. Saturation sampling attempts to survey all identifiable targets and overcomes the lack of reliable sampling frames. In total 1364 such potential respondents were identified. Once the local governments had been identified, e-mail contacts for the appropriate individuals were collected. This process consisted of two steps: Firstly, e-mail addresses were collected through internet-based research (e.g: the collection of those contacts made publically online through the websites of the relevant Ämter or Gemeinden). Secondly, in situations where a single contact e-mail address was listed for all of the Gemeinden within a single Amt, a brief e-mail was sent outlining the intention of the survey and requesting further contact information. A total of 535 unique e-mail contacts for the Bürgermeister and Amtsvorstehers were identified through this process. Additionally, 789 Gemeinden listed contact e-mail addresses that they shared with other Gemeinden in their Amt. No contact address whatsoever was found for 40 of the initially targeted potential respondents. The effective mailout consisted of 1110 email invitations. The response rate was 103, approximately 9%. A response rate of 9% for an online survey is not unusually low. Hamilton (no date given) produced a white paper that analyzed 199 surveys. The total response rate of these surveys, calculated using the total number of surveys sent out in the 199 surveys and the total number of responses for the 199 surveys was 13.35%. He noted that large invitations lists (>1000), tend to be associated with lower individual response rates. Harris Interactive, a well established organization specializing in web-based surveys, used a convenience sample of 70,932 California residents in a survey of attitudes towards healthcare. As with the survey in this analysis, an e-mail was sent to potential respondents with a link to a web survey and non-respondents received one reminder email. The response rate for the Harris Interactive survey was 2%. Holbrook et al (2007) concluded that a low response rate does not necessarily equate to a lower level of accuracy but simply indicates a risk of lower accuracy. The response categories available to respondents was a range of 1 to 7 with a value of 1 being an indication of ‘very inadequate’ and a value of 7 being ‘very adequate’ or ‘very much’ and ‘not at all’. In other words, in a scale of 1 to 7 a value of 1 represents one extreme possibility and a value of 7 represents the opposite extreme position. The
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
5
values are intentionally subjective. What we attempt to capture is the perceptions of a large body of decision makers at the time of the survey.
Presentation of Results The data are presented as histogram, which, when applicable, includes the category ‘don’t know’. Histograms are presented as percentage of respondents. A histogram shows the shape of the distribution, how often different values occur, how much spread or variability there is in the values and which values are most typical. Data is also presented as box-plots. Boxplots illustrate the median, spread and data values, providing a visual assessment of the degree of consensus. Lowest and highest values are indicated by ‘whiskers’ extending from the boxes. The boxes contain the 50% of total values falling between the 25th and 75th percentile, meaning that 50% of the cases have values within the box, 25% have values larger than the upper boundary and 25% have values less than the lower boundary. The length of the box indicates how much spread there is in the data values within the middle 50 percentile. If, for example, one box is much longer than another then the data values in the longer box have more variability. The length of the box is considered to suggest consensus and the location of the box to represent assessment. The median is in the middle of the box only if the distribution is symmetric. If the median line is closer to the left of the box than to the right of the box the data are skewed in that direction, meaning that there are more cases towards that end of the distribution. If the median is closer to the right of the box then tail of the distribution is towards those values. By focusing on the middle 50th percentile, extreme perceptions are separated from the conservative perception represented in the shaded box. A visual explanation of a box-plot and histogram is given in Figure 1.
Figure 1. Box Plots The histogram shows the percentage of scientists answering that response option
The shorter the box in length the greater the level of consensus among the middle 50%of the scientists
Spread of responses
25%
50%
25% of responses
Displays both central tendency (median) and spread
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Summary of Results The summary of results is presented only in the form of box plots. Histograms, box plots and descriptive statistics for all variables are presented in Appendix 1. Respondents were given the choice of three issues of concern for their region: Economic conditions, environmental conditions and social conditions. The rating of these resulted in economic conditions being the primary concern, environmental conditions given second rank and social conditions being deemed the least important of the three. The ranking of environmental issues only are presented in Figure 1.
Figure 2: Regional Political Decision Makers Ranking of Environmental Issues on the German Baltic Sea Coast How would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? Environmental Issue
not important
very important
Land Degradation 1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
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q3d
Sea Level Rise q3f
Climate Change Water Availability
q3e
q3b
Water Quality q3c
Air Quality q3c
As can be seen in Figure 2, sea level rise is given less prominence than climate change, and climate change is ranked less important than water and air quality. While climate change ranked as very important the spread of the box suggests that not everyone in the middle 50th percentile shares the same opinion. In short, while all perceptions in the middle 50th and the 75th percentiles tend to agree that climate change is an important issue there is considerable disagreement as to how important it is. Only the 75th (25% of respondents) percentile assigned sea level the highest level of importance. Nonetheless, respondents were asked how concerned they should be over climate change and sea level rise. Results are presented in Figure 3.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
7
Figure 3. Concern Over Climate Change and Sea Level Rise In your opinion and for the area in which you live, climate change is something a person should be Environmental Issue
not worried about at all
very worried about
Climate Change 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
q4
Sea Level Rise q5
The data suggests that the regional political decision makers for the German Baltic coast see a need to worry about both sea level and climate change but do not indicate that the highest level of worry is necessary. There is less agreement about the need to worry about sea level than there is for climate change. In an effort to determine how these perceptions were reached, respondents were asked about the utility of science. These results are presented in Figure 4.
Figure 4. Political Decision Makers and the Utility of Science The results of science that you refer to in order to make decisions are often: Not at all understandable
1
2
Very Understandable
3
4 q6
5
6
7
The results of science that you refer to in order to make decisions are often: Of little use for decision making Of great use for decision making
1
2
3
4 q7
5
6
7
Input from science in your jurisdiction, concerning adaptation measures and policies is Not enough Too much
1
2
3
4
q16
5
6
How much are your decisions influenced by scientific findings Not at all
1
2
3
4
q17
5
7
Very much
6
7
8
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
As the data in Figure 4 indicates, regional political decision makers seem to have some difficulty in understanding information coming from science, and as a consequence find the information only of relative importance in the decision making process. Nonetheless, respondents claimed that scientific findings did have an influence on decisions. This implies that other sources of information are consulted. To this end, respondents were asked as the nature of their sources of information and knowledge. The results are presented in Figure 5.
Figure 5. Sources of Information Used in the Decision Processes of Regional Political Decision Makers How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? information source
Not at all
Very much
Television 1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
q 19 a
Newspapers q 19 b
Radio Public Scientific Talks Meetings and Conferences Scientific Journals Internal Working Groups
q 19 c
q 19 e
q 19 i
q 19 h
q 19 j
Personal Contact With Scientists q 19 f
It is evident that sources of information most readily consulted are public media, the least consulted, personal contact with scientists. This is in spite of efforts of scientific outreach programs. The awareness and utility of two such efforts are presented in Figure 6.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
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Figure 6. Scientific Outreach and Decision Makers Utilization The `Norddeutsches Klimabüro´ opened in 2008 with the purpose of providing understandable regional climate information for regional stakeholders in northern Germany. For your work, the `Norddeutsches Klimabüro´ is
not useful at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very useful 8 = I am not aware of the `Norddeutsches Klimabüro´
The `Norddeutscher Klimaatlas´ is available on the internet. The website states: „Mit dem Norddeutschen Klimaatlas möchten wir Sie über den aktuellen Forschungsstand zum möglichen künftigen Klimawandel in Norddeutschland informieren“. For your work, the `Norddeutscher Klimaatlas´ is no help at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very helpful
58
20
20
P e rc e n t
Percent
40
40
60
63.73
60
8 = I am not aware of the `Norddeutscher Klimaatlas´
8.824
10.78
10 6.863
8 5
4
1.961
5
5
0
0
2.941
5
4.902
1
2
3
4 5 q21
6
7
8
0
2
4 q22
6
It seems that most regional political decision makers in the German Baltic region are not aware of the outreach programs and those that are do not find the programs to be very helpful. This suggests a misunderstanding between those that produce scientific knowledge and those that consume scientific knowledge (see Figure 34-35, Appendix 1). Nonetheless, it is perceived that adaptation measures are necessary (Figure 7).
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
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Figure 7. Perceptions of the Necessity of Adaptation Measures In your region, do you think adaptation measures are
In your region, do you think adaptation measures must be taken
not really necessary at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very necessary
immediately 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sometime in the future. 8 adaptation measures are not necessary 24.75
30
25
31.68
20
20.79
20
15.84
Percent 15
Percent
18.81
10.89
8.911 7.921
9.901
5
10
9.901
13.86
10
14.85
3.96
3.96
6
7
8
6
7
0
0
3.96
1
2
3
1
2
3
4 q23
4
q23
5
6
5
7
6
1
7
2
1
3
2
4 5 q24
3
4
q24
5
It would seem that adaptations measures are perceived of as more necessary than not, but that adaptation strategies should begin very soon. However, as seems in Figure 8, a number of issued seem to hinder the implementation of adaptation strategies.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
11
Figure 8. Hindrance to the Implementation of Regional Adaptation Strategies. In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Not at all
Very much
Costs 1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
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7
q 26 a
Lack of Certainty Lack of Knowledge of Impacts Lack of Interregional cooperation Priority of other issues Lack of technology
q 26 b
q 26 c
q 26 d
q 26 e
q 26 f
Not surprisingly, costs play the major role in preventing the implementation of adaptation strategies. This is difficult to reconcile with the oft heard claim that things that befit the environment benefit the economy, or, it may simply be the disjunction among the time frames of economics, politics and environmental change. However, without adequate adaptation measures, the risks to the economy and the health of the population are not seen as too high (Figure 9).
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Figure 9. Risks to Regional Economy and Population Health Without Adaptation Measures
Risk to
Without adequate measures, the risk to the economy and the health of people from environmental factors in your region are none very high
Health 1
2
3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
q 28
Economy q 29
When asked about specific climate change impacts, regional political decision makers expressed a mixed picture, with some variables perceived to have both positive and negative implications. That is, so decision makers perceived a negative impact and some a positive impact generated by the same climate phenomena. This is evident in the charts in Figure 10, where the box in the box plot extends from the negative side of the plot to the positive side of the plot.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
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Figure 10. Assessing Individual Climate Change Impacts If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? climate phenomena warmer summer temperatures cooler summer temperatures warmer winter temperatures cooler winter temperatures more rain in summer less rain in summer more rain in winter
negative impact
positive impact
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
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3
1
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4
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7
q 34 a
q 34 b
q 19 c
q 34 d
q 34 e
q 34 f
q 34 g
less rain in winter q 34 h
more snow less snow
q 34 i
q 34 j
stronger winds q 34 k
more sea ice q 34 l
less sea ice q 34 m
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Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Warmer summers, warmer winters, dryer summers, dryer winters and both more snow and less snow are perceived of as having some positive, as well as negative, impacts. Both warmer summer temperatures and warmer winter temperatures are perceived of as the potential for greater positive impacts than negative impacts. Cooler temperatures in summer and winter, more rain in summer and winter, stronger winds, more sea ice and less sea ice are all perceived of as having only negative impacts. All of these phenomena are to some degree claimed to have been observed (see Figures 65-83, Appendix A). To some degree, all are also expected to occur (see Figures 84102, Appendix A). Unfortunately, the awareness of how to adapt to these changing conditions is, for the most part, minimal (see Figures 103-121, Appendix A). In summary, the communication between science and regional political decision makers is in need of improvement. Decision makers seem to be mixed as to whether positive or negative outcomes will result from climate change and are lacking in knowledge of how to combat negative impacts, for example, for which concrete adaptation measures might exist. However, economic conditions seem to be given priority over environmental conditions. Appendix A contains box-plots, histograms and descriptive statistics of all variables contained in the survey. All questions and response options are presented in both English and German.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
APPENDIX A
15
16
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Demographics
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18
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change Table 1. Wie würden Sie Ihr zentrales berufliches Aufgabenfeld beschreiben? (z.B. Landwirtschaft, Fischerei, öffentliche Versorgung (Energie, Wasser), zentrale Infrastruktur (Straßen, Küstenschutz)? If you were to describe the main focus of your job, (i.e. agriculture, fisheries, public utilities (electric, water), superstructure (roads, coastal defense), etc. what would it be Landwirtschaft /Energieproduktion Öffentliche Versorgung/Verwaltung Bürgermeister Zentrale Infrastruktur, Verwaltung Gemeinschaft für jung und alt attraktiv machen. Ehrenamtlicher Amtsvorsteher, Problem regenerative Energiegewinnung Landwirtschaft, Infrastruktur Angestellter-Dienstleistungsbereich Ländliche Kommunalpolitik Bürgermeister in einer ländlich strukturierten Gemeinde mit 14 Ortsteilen Ehrenamtliche Bürgermeisterin der Gemeinde Selent ,in etlichen Vereinen ehrenamtlich tätig (Rentnerin) Dienstleistung Ruheständler, ehrenamtlicher Bürgermeister und Amtsvorsteher Fischerei, öffentliche Versorgung Öffentliche Versorgung und Zentrale Infrastruktur Gemeinde ist geprägt von Landwirtschaft und Tourismus Bürgermeister einer ehrenamtlich verwalteten amtsangehörigen Gemeinde Öffentlicher Dienst, Wissenschaftlicher Gerätebau Öffentliche Verwaltung Zentrale Infrastruktur Wirtschaft und Bauer Naturwissenschaftler, Universität Tourismus Bgm.einer 387-Seelen-Gemeinde.Vorhanden sind: Wasserwerk, Landwirtschaft, Bio-Schlachterei Öffentlichkeitsarbeit, Kommunalpolitik Bis zum Eintritt in den Vorruhestand war ich ca. 30 Jahre in der Energiewirtschaft tätig. Landwirtschaft und zentrale Infrastruktur Touristikleiter Öffentliche Versorgung Landwirtschaft, Küstenschutz Landwirtschaft, Bürgermeister der Gemeinde Hasselberg Im Amt Güstrow-Land sind wir für 14 amtsangehörige Gemeinden auf allen Aufgabenfeldern zuständig. Bürgermeister in der Nähe Schwerins Zentrale Infrastruktur Früher Verwaltung
1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1
1.1 %
1 1 1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1
1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1 1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
19
20
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Infrastruktur für Wirtschaft und Bevölkerung, öffentliche Verwaltung Bildung Kommunale Versorgung Öffentliche Versorgung mit Verwaltungsdienstleistungen Forstwirtschaft Straßen, Entsorgung, Küstenschutz Gemeindevertreter und Vorsitzender des Umwelt-, Bau- und Abwasserausschusses der Gemeinde Strande Gebäudeunterhaltung und Neubau von kommunalen Gebäuden Sicherstellung der öffentlichen Infrastruktur unter Beachtung der naürlichen Lebensgrundlagen Total Missing Cases = 9 Response Percent = 91.3 %
1 1 1 1 1 1
1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.1 %
1 1
1.1 % 1.1 %
1 94
1.1 % 100 %
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
21
Figure 1. Welches Problem in Ihrer Region sollte Ihrer Ansicht nach langfristig die größte Priorität haben? die Wirtschaftsbedingungen (z.B. Arbeitslosigkeit) die sozialen Bedingungen (z.B. Armut) die Umweltbedingungen (z.B. Umweltveränderungen) In your opinion, the main long-term problem that should be given priority in the area in which you live is 1. economic conditions (unemployment issues for example) 2. social conditions (poverty for example) 3. environmental conditions (environmental impacts for example) Number die Wirtschaftsbedingungen (z.B. Arbeitslosigkeit) 58 die sozialen Bedingungen (z.B. Armut) 18 die Umweltbedingungen (z.B. Umweltveränderungen) 27 Total 103
Percent 56.3 % 17.5 % 26.2 % 100.%
Missing Cases = 1 Response Percent = 99.0 %
Umweltbedingungen
26.21% Wirtschaftsbedingungen
56.31% 17.48% Soziale Bedingungen
economic conditions environmental conditions
social conditions
22
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Environmental Concern
23
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
24
Figure 2. Wenn wir uns nur auf Umweltthemen konzentrieren: Wie bewerten Sie die folgenden Themen in Ihrer Region? If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? 50
49.49
Wasserqualität:
40
nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig
Percent 30
Water quality: not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important Mean estimation Number of obs = 99 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3a | 5.909091 .1436421 5.624038 6.194144
20
21.21
11.11
10
12.12
3.03 1.01
0
2.02
1
2
3
4 q3a
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3a
5
6
7
Figure 3. Wenn wir uns nur auf Umweltthemen konzentrieren: Wie bewerten Sie die folgenden Themen in Ihrer Region? If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? 40
Wasserverfügbarkeit 35.71
nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig
Percent 20
30
water availability not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important Mean estimation Number of obs = 98 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3b | 5.265306 .1773825 4.913251 5.617361
20.41 18.37
10
10.2 7.143 4.082
1
2
0
4.082
3
4 q3b
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3b
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
25
Figure 4. Wenn wir uns nur auf Umweltthemen konzentrieren: Wie bewerten Sie die folgenden Themen in Ihrer Region? If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? 32.29
30
Luftqualität 27.08
nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig
air quality Percent
20
not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important 16.67
Mean estimation Number of obs = 96 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3c | 5.4375 .1508837 5.137958 5.737042
10
11.46
7.292 4.167
0
1.042
1
2
3
4 q3c
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3c
5
6
7
Figure 5. Welches Problem in Ihrer Region sollte Ihrer Ansicht nach langfristig die größte Priorität haben? If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? 30
Landdegradierung
27.08
nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig land degradation not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important
20
20.83
Percent
18.75
Mean estimation Number of obs = 96 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3d | 4.21875 .1540414 3.912939 4.524561
13.54
10
11.46
4.167
0
4.167
1
2
3
4 q3d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3d
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
26
Figure 6. Welches Problem in Ihrer Region sollte Ihrer Ansicht nach langfristig die größte Priorität haben?
30
If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? Klimawandel
28.28 26.26
nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig
Percent
20
climate change not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important Mean estimation Number of obs = 99 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3e | 5.181818 .1725096 4.839478 5.524158
14.14
10
14.14
6.061
7.071
0
4.04
1
2
3
4 q3e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3e
5
6
7
Figure 7. Welches Problem in Ihrer Region sollte Ihrer Ansicht nach langfristig die größte Priorität haben? If we limit the problem to environmental issues, would you rate the environmental issue in the area in which you live? 20
20.62 18.56
Meeresspiegelanstieg nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig
16.49
15
sea level rise not important 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important
13.4
Percent 10
12.37
Mean estimation Number of obs = 97 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q3f | 4.391753 .2044168 3.985988 4.797517
10.31
0
5
8.247
1
2
3
4 q3f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q3f
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
27
Figure 8. Ihrer Meinung nach, und bezogen auf Ihre Region, muss einen der Klimawandel … In your opinion and for the area in which you live, climate change is something a person should be ... 25
25
überhaupt nicht beunruhigen 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr beunruhigen
23
20
21
not worried about at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very worried about
Percent 15
15
10
Mean estimation Number of obs = 100 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q4 | 4.89 .1516875 4.589019 5.190981
8
5
5
0
3
1
2
3
4 q4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 q4
5
6
7
Figure 9. Ihrer Meinung nach, und bezogen auf Ihre Region, muss einen der Meeresspiegelanstieg… I In your opinion and for the area in which you live, sea level rise is something a person should be... 22
20
überhaupt nicht beunruhigen 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr beunruhigen 17
not worried about at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very worried about
15
15 14
Percent 10
13
Mean estimation Number of obs = 100 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q5 | 4.26 .1790096 3.904806 4.615194
11
0
5
8
1
2
3
4 q5
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 q5
5
6
7
28
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
29
Communications
Als nächstes würden wir Sie gerne fragen, welche Erfahrungen Sie in der Kommunikation mit Wissenschaftlern gemacht haben, und welche Erfahrungen Sie speziell mit wissenschaftlichen Informationen zum Klimawandel und zur Anpassung an die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels gemacht haben. We would now like to ask you some questions about your experience with communications with scientists and scientific information related to climate change and adaptation to climate change impacts.
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
30
Figure 10. Die wissenschaftlichen Ergebnisse, auf die Sie sich bei der Entscheidungsfindung berufen, sind oft: The results of science that you refer to in order to make decisions are often: 32
30
überhaupt nicht verständlich 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut verständlich not at all understandable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very understandable
22
Mean estimation Number of obs = 100 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q6 | 4.15 .134371 3.883379 4.416621
Percent
20
20
10
10
9 6
0
1
1
2
3
4 q6
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 q6
5
6
7
Figure 11. Die wissenschaftlichen Ergebnisse, auf die Sie sich bei der Entscheidungsfindung berufen, sind oft: The results of science that you refer to in order to make decisions are often: 40
für die Entscheidungsfindung nicht zu gebrauchen
34
1
2 3 4 5 6 7
Percent 20
30
für die Entscheidungsfindung sehr gut zu gebrauchen of little use for decision making - of great use for decision making
19 17
Mean estimation Number of obs = 100 -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q7 | 3.94 .140576 3.661067 4.218933
13
10
9 4
0
4
1
2
3
4 q7
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 q7
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
31
Figure 12. Wie würden Sie die Kommunikation zwischen denjenigen beschreiben, die praktische Entscheidungen im Umweltbereich treffen (wie Sie selbst), und den Wissenschaftlern, die umweltbezogenes Wissen produzieren? How would you describe the general communications between those involved in making practical decisions concerning the environment, such as yourself, and those scientists generating knowledge relevant to environmental issues? 25
sehr schlecht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 22.22 21.21
very poor 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very good
20
21.21
10
Percent 15
16.16
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q8 | 3.565657 .152057 3.263904 3.867409
10.1
5
7.071
0
2.02
1
2
3
4 q8
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 q8
5
6
7
Figure 13. Wissenschaftler wissen, welche Informationen Sie benötigen, um effektive politische Maßnahmen und Handlungen einzuleiten:
30
Scientists know what information you need to design effective policy and take appropriate actions nie 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 immer
29.13
25.24
never 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 always
20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
103
Percent
17.48
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q9 | 3.728155 .125847 3.478538 3.977772
15.53
10
10.68
0
1.942
1
2
3
q9
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4 q9
5
6
7
32
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
33
Decision Making Considerations
Als nächstes möchten wir Sie fragen, welche Aspekte Sie bei umweltbezogenen Entscheidungen berücksichtigen. We would now like to ask you a few questions about what you take into consideration when making decisions about environmental issues
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
34
Figure 14. In der Wissenschaft und in den Medien finden sich oft gegensätzliche Positionen zu umweltbezogenen Informationen. Die ‚Skeptiker' sagen "kein Grund zur Unruhe", während die ‚Schwarzseher' sagen "wir schweben in großer Gefahr". Wenn überhaupt, welche dieser beiden Positionen beeinflusst Ihre Entscheidungsfindung stärker? Der Wert 4 gibt an, dass keine der beiden Meinungen Ihre Entscheidungsfindung beeinflusst.
40
In science and in the media, environmental information often tends to include two opposing accounts. The ‘skeptics’ claim there is no need for alarm and the ‘alarmists’ tend to say we are in great danger. If at all, which of these two positions has the greater influence on the decisions you make? A value of 4 indicates that neither position has any influence on decision making Kein Grund zur Unruhe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Wir schweben in großer Gefahr
37.25 33.33
30
no need for alarm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 we are in great danger
Percent 20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
102
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q10 | 4.333333 .1151783 4.104851 4.561816
10
11.76 8.824
2.941
1
2
2.941
0
2.941
3
4 q10
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q10
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
35
Figure 15. Derzeit wird viel über die möglichen Vorteile diskutiert, die sich aus der Einbeziehung der Öffentlichkeit in die Lösung von Umweltproblemen ergeben können. Ihrer Meinung nach sollte die Öffentlichkeit:
40
Recently there has been considerable discussion concerning the benefits of including the insights of the general public in resolving environmental issues. In your opinion, the general public should be
36.27
Kein Grund zur Unruhe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Wir schweben in großer Gefahr
Percent 20
30
no need for alarm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 we are in great danger
20.59
Mean estimation
21.57
Number of obs =
102
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q11 | 5.607843 .1394423 5.331227 5.884459
10
13.73
4.902
0
.9804
1.961
1
2
3
4 q11
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q11
5
6
7
Figure 16. Inwieweit werden Ihre Entscheidungen von Informationen beeinflusst, die von Umweltschützern bereitgestellt werden?
30
How much are your decisions influenced by the information provided by activist environmental groups? überhaupt nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark 31.68 not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 25.74
Percent
20
Mean estimation
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q12 | 4.019802 .1414075 3.739254 4.30035
13.86
10
12.87
Number of obs =
7.921 4.95
0
2.97
1
2
3
4 q12
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q12
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
36
Figure 17. Inwieweit werden Ihre Entscheidungen von der öffentlichen Meinung beeinflusst?
25
How much are you decisions influenced by the opinion of the general pubic? überhaupt nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
23 22
22
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 15
16
Mean estimation
14
Number of obs =
100
5
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q13 | 3.96 .1392041 3.683789 4.236211
0
3
1
2
3
q13
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q13
5
6
7
Figure 18. Wenn Sie politische Aktivitäten erarbeiten oder umsetzen, wie schätzen Sie dabei die Kommunikation mit öffentlichen Akteuren ein?
25
When designing or attempting to implement policy, communications with public stakeholders hinderlich in der Entscheidungsfindung 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 hilfreich in der Entscheidungsfindung
22.77
20
20.79
hinders decision making 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 helps with decision making
Percent 15
15.84 13.86
Mean estimation 10.89
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q14 | 4.465347 .1686078 4.130833 4.79986
4.95
0
5
10
10.89
Number of obs =
1
2
3
4 q14
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q14
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
37
Figure 19. Wie schätzen Sie den öffentlichen Input zu Klimapolitik und Anpassungsmaßnahmen an den Klimawandel in Ihrem Aufgabenbereich ein? Input from the public in your jurisdiction, concerning adaptation measures and policies, is 30
30.3
nicht genug 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 zu viel not enough 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 too much
21.21
20
20.2
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
99
Percent
17.17
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q15 | 3.676768 .1314558 3.415898 3.937637 6.061 4.04
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q15
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q15
5
6
7
Figure 20. Wie schätzen Sie den wissenschaftlichen Input zu Klimapolitik und Anpassungsmaßnahmen an den Klimawandel in Ihrem Aufgabenbereich ein?
30
Input from science in your jurisdiction, concerning adaptation measures and policies, is 29
nicht genug 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 zu viel
25
not enough 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 too much
20
20
Mean estimation
Percent
18
Number of obs =
100
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q16 | 3.51 .1251222 3.26173 3.75827
5
1
0
2
1
2
3
4 q16
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q16
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
38
Figure 21. Wie stark wirken sich wissenschaftliche Ergebnisse auf Ihre Entscheidungen aus?
30
How much are your decisions influenced by scientific findings? überhaupt nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
28.71
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20
20.79
Percent
18.81
Mean estimation
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q17 | 4.39604 .1489762 4.100475 4.691604
14.85
10
Number of obs =
8.911
4.95
0
2.97
1
2
3
4 q17
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q17
5
6
7
Figure 22. Auf was sollten sich Politik und Handlung im Bereich Klimawandel und Meeresspiegelanstieg konzentrieren? Concerning climate change and sea level rise, policy and action should focus on 20
19.61
Schadensminderung 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Anpassung
18.63
mitigation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 adaptation
15
15.69
12.75
12.75
Mean estimation
Percent 10
10.78
Number of obs =
102
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q18 | 4.117647 .186568 3.747546 4.487748
0
5
9.804
1
2
3
4 q18
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q18
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
39
Figure 23. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Fernsehen
25
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Television gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
23.23 21.21
20
20.2
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
16.16
Percent 15
Mean estimation
10
1
2
0
5
6.061
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19a | 4.909091 .1747224 4.56236 5.255822
7.071 6.061
Number of obs =
3
4 q19a
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19a
5
6
7
Figure 24. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Zeitungen
30
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Newspapers gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
26.73
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
22.77
Mean estimation
Percent
17.82
12.87
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19b | 4.811881 .1487325 4.5168 5.106962
10
11.88
Number of obs =
5.941
0
1.98
1
2
3
4 q19b
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19b
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
40
Figure 25. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Radio How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Radio 21
20
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark 17
17
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
15
16 14
11
Number of obs =
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -----------+-----------------------------------------------q19c | 4.26 .1697413 3.923196 4.596804
4
0
5
Percent 10
Mean estimation
1
2
3
4 q19c
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
q19c
5
6
7
Figure 26. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Bücher
25
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Books gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
23
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 18 17 16
Mean estimation
Percent 15
16
Number of obs =
100
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19d | 3.93 .1646883 3.603223 4.256777
5
7
0
3
1
2
3
4 q19d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19d
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
41
25
Figure 27. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? öffentliche wissenschaftliche Vorträge How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? public scientific talks gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
23 21
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
Number of obs =
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19e | 3.54 .1672233 3.208193 3.871807
12 11
5
10
Percent 15
17 15
0
1
1
2
3
4 q19e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19e
5
6
7
Figure 28. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Ausstellungen und Museen How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Exhibitions and museums 25.51
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
25
24.49
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 18.37
18.37
10
Percent 15
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
98
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19f | 2.734694 .1476024 2.441744 3.027644
9.184
0
5
4.082
1
2
3
q19f
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19f
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
42
Figure 29. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Persönlicher Kontakt zu Wissenschaftlern
40
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Personal contact with scientists? gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
36.73
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
Mean estimation 20.41
Number of obs =
98
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19g | 2.632653 .1748961 2.285533 2.979773
14.29 11.22
10
9.184 5.102
0
3.061
1
2
3
4 q19g
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19g
5
6
7
Figure 30. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Wissenschaftliche Publikationen
25
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Scientific journals gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
23.23 21.21
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 17.17
Percent 15
15.15
Mean estimation 12.12
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19h | 3.565657 .1705857 3.227135 3.904178
10.1
5
10
Number of obs =
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q19h
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19h
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
43
Figure 31. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Treffen und Konferenzen
24.49
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
25
How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Meetings and conferences
17.35 16.33
16.33
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
98
10
Percent 15
14.29
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19i | 3.295918 .1903462 2.918134 3.673703
5
9.184
0
2.041
1
2
3
4 q19i
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19i
5
6
7
50
Figure 32. Wie stark nutzen Sie die folgenden Informationsquellen, um bezüglich der Anpassung an den Klimawandel zu Entscheidungen und politischen Strategien zu gelangen? Interne Arbeitsgruppen How much do you use the following sources of information in shaping adaptation decisions and policy? Internal working groups gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
45.54
40
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 30
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
101
20
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q19j | 2.60396 .1840572 2.238796 2.969125 11.88
12.87
10
8.911
9.901
8.911
0
1.98
1
2
3
4 q19j
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q19j
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
44
Figure 33. 2008 wurde ein Bericht veröffentlicht, der sich mit vielen klimarelevanten Themen im Ostseeraum auseinandersetzt. Der Bericht heißt "Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin" und wird häufig schlicht als BACC-Bericht bezeichnet. Wie hilfreich ist der BACC-Bericht für Sie in Ihrer Arbeit?
80
In 2008 a report was published by BALTEX. The report was a comprehensive assessment of things related to climate change as they pertain to the Baltic region. The report was called ‘Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin and is often referred to simply as the BACC Report. For your work the BACC Report is
60
67.33
überhaupt keine Hilfe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr hilfreich
Percent 40
8 Ich kenne den BACC-Bericht nicht not useful at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very useful
20
8 I am not aware of the BACC Report 7.921 3.96
3.96
.9901 .9901
0
6.931 7.921
1
2
3
4 5 q20
6
7
8
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
45
Figure 34. Das Norddeutsche Klimabüro wurde 2008 eröffnet, um regionale Klimainformationen verständlich aufzubereiten und regionale Akteure zu informieren. Wie hilfreich ist das Norddeutsche Klimabüro für Sie in Ihrer Arbeit? The Norddeutsche Klimabüro opened in 2008 with the purpose of providing understandable regional climate information for regional stakeholders in northern Germany. For your work, the Norddeutsche Klimabüro is
60
63.73
Percent
40
überhaupt keine Hilfe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr hilfreich
20
8 Ich kenne den Norddeutsche Klimabüro
8.824
not useful at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very useful
10.78 6.863
8 I am not aware of the Norddeutsche Klimabüro
1.961
0
2.941
4.902
1
2
3
4 5 q21
6
7
8
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
46
Figure 35. Der Norddeutsche Klimaatlas ist im Internet zugänglich. Auf der Webseite steht: 'Mit dem Norddeutschen Klimaatlas möchten wir Sie über den aktuellen Forschungsstand zum möglichen künftigen Klimawandel in Norddeutschland informieren". Wie hilfreich ist der Norddeutsche Klimaatlas für Sie in Ihrer Arbeit?
60
The Norddeutscher Klimaatlas is available on the internet. The website states ‘Mit dem Norddeutschen Klimaatlas möchten wir Sie über den aktuellen Forschungsstand zum möglichen künftigen Klimawandel in Norddeutschland informieren. For your work, the Norddeutscher Klimaatlas is 58
überhaupt keine Hilfe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr hilfreich
20
P e rc e n t
40
8 = Ich kenne den Norddeutschen Klimaatlas nicht
no help at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7very helpful 10 5
8 5
5
8 = I am not aware of the Norddeutschen Klimaatlas
5
0
4
0
2
4 q22
6
8
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Impacts and Adaptation Strategies
Als nächstes würden wir Sie gerne zu Umweltveränderungen und Anpassungsmaßnahmen in ihrer Region befragen. We would now like to ask you about environmental impacts and adaptation measures in the area where you live.
47
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
48
Figure 36. Wie notwendig, glauben Sie, sind Anpassungsmaßnahmen in Ihrer Region? In your region, do you think adaptation measures are gar nicht notwendig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr notwendig
30
31.68
not really necessary at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very necessary
20
Mean estimation Percent
18.81
10
10.89
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q23 | 4.485149 .1558203 4.176005 4.794292
14.85
9.901
Number of obs =
9.901
0
3.96
1
2
3
4 q23
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
5
q23
6
7
Figure 37. Ab welchem Zeitpunkt, glauben Sie, müssen Anpassungsmaßnahmen in Ihrer Region durchgeführt werden? In your region, do you think adaptation measures must be taken sofort 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 irgendwann in der Zukunft 8 Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind nicht nötig
25
24.75
20
20.79
adaptation measures are not necessary immediately 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sometime in the future. 8 adaptation measures are not necessary
13.86
Mean estimation
10
Percent 15
15.84
101
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q24 | 3.455446 .1859015 3.086622 3.824269
8.911 7.921
3.96
3.96
7
8
0
5
Number of obs =
1
2
3
4 5 q24
6
1
2
3
4
q24
5
6
7
8
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
49
Figure 38. Sind Anpassungsmaßnahmen nötig? Are adaptation measures necessary?
20
Percent 40
60
80
87.88
0
12.12
nein (no) q25
ja (yes)
Figure 39. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Kosten In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Costs
60
62.63
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
40
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much P e rc e n t
Mean estimation
20
4.04
3.03
5.051
0
1.01
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26a | 6.30303 .1230534 6.058835 6.547226
23.23
1.01
Number of obs =
0
2
4 q26a
6
8 1
2
3
4
q26a
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
50
Figure 40. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Unsicherheit, ob es Veränderungen geben wird
30
In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Lack of certainty if impacts will occur 28.57
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20
19.39
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
98
Percent
16.33
12.24
11.22
10
9.184
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26b | 4.581633 .1634132 4.257303 4.905963
0
3.061
1
2
3
4 q26b
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q26b
5
6
7
Figure 41. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Mangelndes Wissen über die Art der Veränderungen
30
In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Lack of knowledge about impacts 27
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
24
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 18
Percent
17
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
100
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26c | 5.07 .1458206 4.78066 5.35934 6
7
0
1
1
2
3
4 q26c
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q26c
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
51
Figure 42. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Mangelnde interregionale Zusammenarbeit In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Lack of interregional cooperation 30
30.3
ar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
20.2
Percent
17.17
17.17
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
99
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26d | 4.919192 .1482925 4.62491 5.213474 8.081 5.051
0
2.02
1
2
3
4 q26d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q26d
5
6
7
Figure 43. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Andere Themen sind wichtiger In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Priority of other issues 25.77
ar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark
25
24.74
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 18.56
Percent 15
16.49
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
97
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26e | 4.886598 .1663719 4.556352 5.216844 6.186
5
5.155
0
3.093
1
2
3
4 q26e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q26e
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
52
Figure 44. Angenommen, Anpassungsmaßnahmen sind notwendig: Wie stark wird deren Umsetzung von den folgenden Aspekten behindert? Mangel an nutzbarer Technologie
40
In your opinion, if adaptation measures are necessary, how much do the following concerns prevent adequate adaptation measures from being put into place? Lack of useable technology ar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr stark 33.67
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
10
Percent 20
Mean estimation 20.41
9.184
10.2
11.22
Number of obs =
98
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q26f | 3.959184 .1561681 3.649233 4.269134
11.22
0
4.082
1
2
3
4 q26f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q26f
5
6
7
Figure 45. Wie bewerten Sie die politischen Leitlinien und Programme, die Ihrer Region eine nachhaltige Zukunft sichern sollen?
30
The programs and policies put into place to maintain a sustainable future for the region in which you live are sehr unzureichend 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 vollkommen ausreichend
28
24
Mean estimation
16
12
Number of obs =
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q27 | 3.4 .1582735 3.085951 3.714049
12
10
Percent
20
very inadequate 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very adequate
4
6
7
0
4
1
2
3
4 q27
5
1
2
3
4
q27
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
53
Figure 46. Ohne angemessene Maßnahmen ist das Risiko, das von Umweltfaktoren für Leben und Gesundheit der Menschen in Ihrer Region ausgeht: Without adequate measures, the risk to lives and health of people from environmental factors in your region is 31.31
30
nicht existent 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr hoch none 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very high
24.24
Percent
20
Mean estimation
10
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q28 | 4.292929 .1386483 4.017786 4.568072
15.15
11.11
10.1
Number of obs =
7.071
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q28
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q28
5
6
7
Figure 47. Ohne angemessene Maßnahmen ist das wirtschaftliche Risiko, das in Ihrer Region von Umweltfaktoren ausgeht: Without adequate measures, the risk to the economy from environmental factors in your region is nicht existent 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr hoch
25
26.26 24.24
none 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very high
20
21.21
Mean estimation
16.16
Number of obs =
99
10
Percent 15
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q29 | 4.272727 .1330069 4.00878 4.536675
5
8.081
3.03
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q29
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q29
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
54
Figure 48. Das Konzept des "Integrierten Küstenzonenmanagements" ist in letzter Zeit viel diskutiert worden. Integriertes Küstenzonenmanagement wird oft als eine gemeinschaftliche Aufgabe beschrieben, die eine Abstimmung zwischen Wissenschaft, politischen Entscheidungsträgern und öffentlichen Akteursgruppen erfordert. In Ihrer Region ist integriertes Küstenzonenmanagement:
40
Recently there has been much talk of, and research undertaken, pertaining to the concept of ‘integrated coastal zone management’. It is claimed that integrated coastal zone management should involve the coordinated efforts of science, policy decision makers and public stakeholder groups. In your region, integrated coastal zone management is nicht existent 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 voll in die Entscheidungsfindung integriert
36
Percent 20
30
nonexistent 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 fully incorporated into decision making 21
Mean estimation
18
Number of obs =
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q30 | 2.6 .161433 2.279682 2.920318
10
15
3
3
6
7
0
4
1
2
3
4 q30
5
1
2
3
4
q30
5
6
7
Figure 49. Angenommen Anpassungsstrategien sind notwendig: Welche Ausrichtung sollten diese Ihrer Ansicht nach haben? In your opinion, adaptive strategies, should they be necessary, should be pro-aktiv (vor der Auswirkung) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 reaktiv (nach der Auswirkung)
30
30.61
25.51
proactive (before the impact) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 reactive (after the impact)
20
20.41
Mean estimation
Percent
18.37
Number of obs =
98
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q31 | 2.459184 .1361986 2.188867 2.7295
2.041
5
6
1.02
0
2.041
1
2
3
4 q31
7 1
2
3
4
q29
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
55
Figure 50. Wie wichtig ist die Zusammenarbeit mit anderen Regionen bei der Entwicklung von eigenen regionalen Anpassungsstrategien? How important is it to cooperate with other regions in trying to establish adaptation strategies, if they are necessary, for your regions gar nicht wichtig 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr wichtig Es sind keine Anpassungsmaßnahmen notwendig 8
30
30.61
25.51
not important at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very important adaptation measures are not necessary 8
20
20.41 18.37
10
Percent
Mean estimation (q32 < 8) Number of obs = -------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q32 | 5.184783 .1432752 4.900184 5.469381
2.041
5
6
1.02
0
2.041
92
1
2
3
4 q31
7
8
1
2
3
4
q32
5
6
7
Figure 51. Wie würden Sie die Zusammenarbeit mit anderen Regionen bei der Entwicklung von eigenen regionalen Anpassungsstrategien einschätzen? The amount of cooperation with other regions concerning adaptation strategies in your region is ungenügend 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 zu viel Es sind keine Anpassungsmaßnahmen notwendig 8
25.51
20
25
24.49
not enough 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 too much adaptation measures are not necessary 8
Percent 15
16.33
Mean estimation
13.27
(q33 < 8)
Number of obs
=
93
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q33 | 3.11828 .1715163 2.777633 3.458926
6.122 5.102 5.102
0
5
4.082
1
2
3
4 5 q33
6
7
8 1
2
3
4
q33
5
6
7
56
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
Perceptions of Environmental Threat
Als nächstes würden wir gerne wissen, wie Sie spezifische umweltbezogene Risiken in Ihrer Umgebung einschätzen. We would now like to ask your opinion about specific environmental threats to the area in which you live
57
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
58
Figure 52. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): wärmere Temperaturen im Sommer If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? warmer summer temperatures 30
negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
27
20
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact 19
Percent
17
Mean estimation 14
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34a | 4.34 .1590502 4.02441 4.65559
10
13
Number of obs =
7
0
3
1
2
3
4 q34a
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34a
5
6
7
Figure 53. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): kühlere Temperaturen im Sommer
30
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? cooler summer temperatures 28.28
negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
27.27
18.18
Mean estimation
18.18
Percent
20
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact Number of obs =
99
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34b | 2.717172 .1260212 2.467087 2.967257 7.071
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q34b
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34b
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
59
Figure 54. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): wärmere Temperaturen im Winter
25
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? warmer winter temperatures negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
23.23
20
21.21
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
18.18
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34c | 3.525253 .1541987 3.21925 3.831255
10.1 9.091
5
10
Percent 15
16.16
0
2.02
1
2
3
4 q34c
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34c
5
6
7
Figure 55. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): kühlere Temperaturen im Winter If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? cooler winter temperatures negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
25
26 24 22
20
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact 16
Percent 15
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
100
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34d | 3.42 .1372015 3.147763 3.692237 6
5
5
0
1
1
2
3
4 q34d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34d
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
60
Figure 56. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): mehr Regen im Sommer
30
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact your region? more rain in summer negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
28
18
18
Mean estimation 15
14
Number of obs =
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34e | 3.1 .1527525 2.796906 3.403094
10
Percent
20
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
6
0
1
1
2
3
4 q34e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34e
5
6
7
Figure 57. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): weniger Regen im Sommer
30
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? less rain in summer negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung") 27
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
20
23
Percent
Mean estimation 15
Number of obs =
100
15
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34f | 3.5 .1654501 3.171711 3.828289 7
7
0
6
1
2
3
4 q34f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34f
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
61
Figure 58. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): mehr Regen im Winter If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? more rain in winter negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
30
30.3
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
20
22.22
10
Percent
Mean estimation 14.14
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34g | 3.585859 .1450127 3.298086 3.873632
13.13 10.1
9.091
Number of obs =
0
1.01
1
2
3
4 q34g
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34g
5
6
7
Figure 59. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): weniger Regen im Winter
30
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? less rain in winter negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
29
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
20
23
Percent
19
Mean estimation
10
16
100
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34h | 3.68 .1354976 3.411143 3.948857
8
3
Number of obs =
0
2
1
2
3
4 q34h
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34h
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
62
Figure 60. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): mehr Schnee If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? more snow negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
25
26.26
21.21
20
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact 17.17
Number of obs =
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34i | 3.363636 .1608154 3.044503 3.682769
10.1 9.091
5
10
Percent 15
Mean estimation 13.13
0
3.03
1
2
3
4 q34i
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34i
5
6
7
Figure 61. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): weniger Schnee If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? less snow negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
30
30.61
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact 20
20.41
Mean estimation
Percent
17.35 15.31
Number of obs =
98
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34j | 3.918367 .1505118 3.619643 4.217092 7.143 5.102
0
4.082
1
2
3
4 q34j
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34j
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
63
Figure 62. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): stärkerer Wind
50
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? stronger winds negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
46.94
Mean estimation 23.47
14.29
10
Number of obs =
98
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34k | 2.326531 .1262643 2.075931 2.57713
20
Percent 30
40
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
8.163 4.082 1.02
0
2.041
1
2
3
4 q34k
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34k
5
6
7
Figure 63. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): mehr Meereis
40
If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? more sea ice negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
37.11
30
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact
Percent 20
Mean estimation 19.59
97
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34l | 3.42268 .1535904 3.117806 3.727555
13.4
12.37
Number of obs =
10
11.34
4.124
0
2.062
1
2
3
4 q34l
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34l
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
64
Figure 64. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie schätzen Sie die Auswirkungen auf Ihre Region ein? (Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung"): weniger Meereis If they occurred, how would the following environmental changes have an impact in your region? less sea ice 50
negativ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positiv Der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung")
44.9
Percent 30
40
negative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 positive a value of 4 indicates no impact Mean estimation
Number of obs =
98
20
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q34m | 3.897959 .1482699 3.603684 4.192234 12.24
12.24
10
10.2 8.163 6.122
0
6.122
1
2
3
4 q34m
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q34m
5
6
7
Figure 65. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? wärmere Temperaturen im Sommer Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: warmer summer temperatures keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
25.77
25
24.74
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
Percent 15
17.53
Number of obs =
97
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35a | 3.618557 .1692941 3.282511 3.954603
11.34
10
10.31
5
8.247
0
2.062
1
2
3
4 q35a
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
q35a
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
65
Figure 66. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? kühlere Temperaturen im Sommer
30
Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: cooler summer temperatures keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 28.87
28.87
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
Percent
18.56
Number of obs =
97
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35b | 2.742268 .1430509 2.458314 3.026222
10
15.46
6.186
0
2.062
1
2
3
q35b
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35b
5
6
7
Figure 67. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? wärmere Temperaturen im Winter Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: warmer winter temperatures 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
32.63
15.79
Number of obs =
95
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35c | 3.378947 .1606112 3.06005 3.697845
18.95 14.74
9.474
10
Percent 20
Mean estimation
7.368
0
1.053
1
2
3
4 q35c
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35c
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
66
Figure 68. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? kühlere Temperaturen im Winter Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: cooler winter temperatures: 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
35.42
Percent 20
Mean estimation 21.88
96
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35d | 3.239583 .160006 2.921931 3.557235
16.67 14.58
10
Number of obs =
7.292 3.125
0
1.042
1
2
3
4 q35d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35d
5
6
7
Figure 69. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Regen im Sommer Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more rain in summer keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
30
31.91
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20 Percent
Mean estimation
20.21
94
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35e | 3.457447 .1569447 3.145786 3.769108
17.02
12.77
10
11.7
Number of obs =
0
6.383
1
2
3
q35e
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35e
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
67
Figure 70. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? weniger Regen im Sommer Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: less rain in summer 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
34.74
Percent 20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
95
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35f | 3.368421 .157708 3.055288 3.681554
17.89 13.68
13.68
10
12.63
6.316
0
1.053
1
2
3
4 q35f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35f
5
6
7
Figure 71. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Regen im Winter Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more rain in winter 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
30
32.63
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
95
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35g | 3.284211 .1545598 2.977328 3.591093
18.95 15.79 13.68
10
12.63
0
6.316
1
2
3
q35g
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35g
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
68
Figure 72. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? weniger Regen im Winter Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: less rain in winter keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
40
40.43
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
30
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
94
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35h | 3.031915 .1454347 2.74311 3.320719
21.28 17.02
10
11.7
6.383
0
3.191
1
2
3
q35h
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
q35h
5
6
7
Figure 73. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? . mehr Schnee Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more snow 30
29.17
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
30.21
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Number of obs =
96
12.5
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35i | 4 .1601808 3.682001 4.317999
11.46
10
Percent
20
Mean estimation
7.292
7.292
0
2.083
1
2
3
4 q35i
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35i
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
69
Figure 74. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? weniger Schnee Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: less snow keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
30
29.47
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
26.32
Mean estimation
20
20
Number of obs =
95
Percent
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35j | 2.926316 .1634196 2.601842 3.250789
10
10.53 8.421
0
5.263
1
2
3
q35j
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35j
5
6
7
Figure 75. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? stärkere Winde Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: stronger winds keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche
30
29.17
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation 18.75
96
10.42
10
11.46
Number of obs =
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35k | 4.135417 .1724563 3.793048 4.477786
Percent
20
19.79
7.292
0
3.125
1
2
3
4 q35k
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35k
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
70
Figure 76. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Eis im Meer Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more sea ice 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 38.64
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
Percent 20
25
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35l | 2.954545 .1541053 2.648244 3.260847
15.91
10
10.23 7.955
0
2.273
1
2
3
q35l
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35l
5
6
7
Figure 77. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? weniger Eis im Meer Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: less sea ice 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 37.08
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation 23.6
Number of obs =
89
Percent 20
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35m | 3.157303 .1675233 2.824386 3.490221 13.48
10
10.11
8.989 5.618
0
1.124
1
2
3
4 q35m
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35m
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
71
Figure 78. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? stärkere Stranderosion Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: increase beach erosion 30
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 28.57
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
25.27
15.38
10
Percent
20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35n | 3.989011 .180553 3.630311 4.347711
15.38
8.791
3.297
0
3.297
1
2
3
4 q35n
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35n
5
6
7
Figure 79. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Sturmfluten Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more storm surges 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
32.97
Percent 20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35o | 3.538462 .1742296 3.192324 3.884599
19.78 17.58
12.09
10
10.99
0
6.593
1
2
3
q35o
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35o
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
72
Figure 80. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Überschwemmungen durch Schnee oder Regen Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more floods from snow or rain 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
34.04
Mean estimation
10
Percent 20
25.53
94
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35p | 4.159574 .1522373 3.857261 4.461888
15.96
9.574
Number of obs =
8.511
0
6.383
1
2
3
q35p
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35p
5
6
7
Figure 81. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? weniger Sonnenstunden Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: less hours of sunshine 50
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 45.56
40
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Number of obs =
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35q | 3.055556 .1459919 2.765473 3.345638
22.22
20
Percent 30
Mean estimation
13.33
10
11.11 5.556
0
2.222
1
2
3
q35q
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35q
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
73
Figure 82. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? mehr Sonnenstunden Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: more sunshine hours 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche 38.46
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35r | 3.505495 .1721612 3.163466 3.847523
20.88
13.19
10
12.09
6.593
5.495
0
3.297
1
2
3
4 q35r
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35r
5
6
7
Figure 83. Sehen Sie Anzeichen dafür, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region bereits eingetreten sind? Meeresspiegelanstieg Are there signs that the following have already happened in the area where you live: sea level rise 40
keine 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr deutliche not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
27.27
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q35s | 3.136364 .1719501 2.794594 3.478133
Percent 20
30
34.09
13.64
10
10.23
9.091
0
5.682
1
2
3
q35s
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q35s
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
74
Figure 84. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? wärmere Temperaturen im Sommer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? warmer summer temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
30
31.91
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
21.28
Percent
20
20.21
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
94
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36a | 4.521277 .1448646 4.233604 4.808949
10
12.77
6.383 4.255
0
3.191
1
2
3
4 q36a
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36a
5
6
7
Figure 85. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? kühlere Temperaturen im Sommer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? cooler summer temperatures 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 28.89 26.67
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
Number of obs =
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36b | 2.644444 .1237281 2.398599 2.89029
10
Percent
20
21.11 18.89
3.333
0
1.111
1
2
3
q36b
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36b
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
75
Figure 86. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? wärmere Temperaturen im Winter How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? warmer winter temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
30
30.43 28.26
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent
20
Mean estimation
10
92
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36c | 4.076087 .1476312 3.782836 4.369338
13.04 9.783
Number of obs =
10.87
6.522
0
1.087
1
2
3
4 q36c
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36c
5
6
7
Figure 87. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? kühlere Temperaturen im Winter How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? cooler winter temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
30
29.35
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 23.91 21.74
20
Mean estimation
Percent 10
92
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36d | 3.228261 .1357178 2.958674 3.497848
10.87
9.783
Number of obs =
0
4.348
1
2
3
q36d
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36d
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
76
Figure 88. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Regen im Sommer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more rain in summer gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
25
25.27
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20.88
20
19.78
Mean estimation
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36e | 3.857143 .1535668 3.552056 4.16223
15.38
Percent 15
Number of obs =
10
12.09
5
5.495
0
1.099
1
2
3
4 q36e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36e
5
6
7
Figure 89. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? weniger Regen im Sommer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? less rain in summer 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 27.78
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 22.22
20
Mean estimation
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36f | 3.444444 .1565157 3.133451 3.755438
16.67
Percent
Number of obs =
13.33
10
11.11
6.667
0
2.222
1
2
3
4 q36f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36f
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
77
Figure 90. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Regen im Winter How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more rain in winter 40
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 37.36
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation Percent 20
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36g | 3.868132 .1434009 3.583241 4.153023
21.98
12.09
10
12.09
Number of obs =
8.791 6.593
0
1.099
1
2
3
4 q36g
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36g
5
6
7
Figure 91. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? weniger Regen im Winter How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? less rain in winter 40
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 35.96
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
15.73
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36h | 3.078652 .1329564 2.814429 3.342875
15.73
10
Percent 20
23.6
7.865
0
1.124
1
2
3
q36h
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36h
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
78
Figure 92. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Schnee How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more snow 40
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
32.61
Mean estimation
Percent 20
27.17
Number of obs =
92
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36i | 4.076087 .1393056 3.799374 4.3528
16.3
10
9.783 5.435
6.522
0
2.174
1
2
3
4 q36i
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36i
5
6
7
Figure 93. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? weniger Schnee How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? less snow 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 26.67
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
24.44 22.22
Number of obs =
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36j | 3.111111 .1417251 2.829506 3.392716
12.22 10
10
Percent
20
Mean estimation
0
4.444
1
2
3
q36j
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36j
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
79
Figure 94. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? stärkere Winde
40
How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? stronger winds gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 32.98
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
Percent 20
22.34
94
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36k | 4.521277 .1540491 4.215366 4.827188
20.21
10
Number of obs =
8.511 5.319
4.255
0
6.383
1
2
3
4 q36k
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36k
5
6
7
Figure 95. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Sturmfluten
40
How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more storm floods gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 32.58
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
Mean estimation 19.1
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36l | 4.022472 .1706036 3.683433 4.361511
17.98
11.24
10
8.989
7.865
0
2.247
1
2
3
4 q36l
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36l
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
80
Figure 96. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Eis im Meer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more sea ice 42.7
40
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
Percent 20
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36m | 3.179775 .1460772 2.889477 3.470073
17.98 13.48
10
14.61
Number of obs =
7.865
0
3.371
1
2
3
q36m
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36m
5
6
7
Figure 97. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? weniger Eis im Meer How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? n. less sea ice 40
39.77
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
Percent 20
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much \Mean estimation
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36n | 3.443182 .1647153 3.115792 3.770571
15.91 13.64 11.36
10
10.23 6.818
0
2.273
1
2
3
4 q36n
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36n
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
81
Figure 98. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? stärkere Stranderosion How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? increased beach erosion gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
25
26.14
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20.45
20
19.32
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36o | 4.022727 .1842671 3.656477 4.388978
13.64
10
Percent 15
Mean estimation
9.091
5
7.955
0
3.409
1
2
3
4 q36o
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36o
5
6
7
Figure 99. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? Überschwemmungen durch Schnee oder Regen How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more floods from snow or rain gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
30
30.43
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 22.83
Mean estimation
20
20.65
92
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36p | 4.217391 .1619769 3.895644 4.539139
Percent 10
Number of obs =
9.783
8.696 5.435
0
2.174
1
2
3
4 q36p
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36p
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
82
Figure 100. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? weniger Sonnenstunden How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live?. less sunshine hours gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
40
39.56
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent 20
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
91
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36q | 3.21978 .137838 2.945941 3.493619
19.78 17.58
10
12.09 7.692
1.099
0
2.198
1
2
3
4 q36q
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36q
5
6
7
Figure 101. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? mehr Sonnenstunden How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? more sunshine hours gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
40
39.33
30
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much Mean estimation
Number of obs =
89
Percent 20
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36r | 4.033708 .1656459 3.704521 4.362894 15.73
15.73
11.24
10
8.989 5.618
0
3.371
1
2
3
4 q36r
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36r
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
83
Figure 102. Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie es, dass die folgenden Umweltveränderungen in Ihrer Region auftreten werden? Meeresspiegelanstieg How much do you think the following are likely to happen in the area where you live? sea level rise 25
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 23.86
23.86
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
10
Percent 15
15.91 14.77
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q36s | 4 .1863974 3.629515 4.370485
9.091 7.955
0
5
4.545
1
2
3
4 q36s
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q36s
5
6
7
Figure 103. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? wärmere Temperaturen im Sommer How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? warmer summer temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
25
26.09
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20.65
20
20.65
17.39
10
Percent 15
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
92
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37a | 3.076087 .1630116 2.752284 3.39989
5
8.696
3.261
6
7
0
3.261
1
2
3
4 q37a
5
1
2
3
4
q37a
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
84
Figure 104. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? kühlere Temperaturen im Sommer
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? cooler summer temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 29.67 not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
20.88
Mean estimation
19.78 17.58
Number of obs =
91
10
Percent
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37b | 3 .1585958 2.684922 3.315078 7.692
3.297
0
1.099
1
2
3
4 q37b
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37b
5
6
7
Figure 105. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? wärmere Temperaturen im Winter
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
18.89
Percent
20
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? warmer winter temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 32.22
Mean estimation
18.89
Number of obs =
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37c | 3.177778 .1623622 2.855167 3.500388
10
15.56
7.778
3.333
6
7
0
3.333
1
2
3
4 q37c
5
1
2
3
4
q37c
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
85
Figure 106. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? kühlere Temperaturen im Winter
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? cooler winter temperatures gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 29.89 not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
18.39
Number of obs =
87
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37d | 3.08046 .1595389 2.763307 3.397613
10
Percent
20
20.69 18.39
8.046
3.448
0
1.149
1
2
3
4 q37d
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37d
5
6
7
Figure 107. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Regen im Sommer How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? more rain in summer gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
25
24.44
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20
20 18.89 16.67
Percent 15
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
90
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37e | 3.266667 .1729526 2.923013 3.61032
10
11.11
5
5.556
0
3.333
1
2
3
4 q37e
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37e
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
86
Figure 108. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? weniger Regen im Sommer How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? less rain in summer gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 30
29.21
20.22
Mean estimation
19.1 16.85
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37f | 3.123596 .1682241 2.789285 3.457906
10
Percent
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
7.865 4.494
0
2.247
1
2
3
4 q37f
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37f
5
6
7
Figure 109. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Regen im Winter
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? g. more rain in winter gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
18.18
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
19.32
17.05
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37g | 3.25 .1727596 2.906622 3.593378 10.23
10
Percent
20
27.27
5.682
0
2.273
1
2
3
4 q37g
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37g
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
87
Figure 110. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? weniger Regen im Winter How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? less rain in winter 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 28.09
20.22
19.1
Mean estimation
17.98
10
Percent
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37h | 3.067416 .1643679 2.740769 3.394062
8.989
3.371
0
2.247
1
2
3
4 q37h
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37h
5
6
7
Figure 111. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Schnee How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur?. more snow gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
30
31.46
16.85
Mean estimation
17.98
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37i | 3.303371 .1679082 2.969688 3.637053
15.73
10.11
10
Percent
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
4.494
0
3.371
1
2
3
4 q37i
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37i
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
88
Figure 112. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? weniger Schnee How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? less snow gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut
25
25
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
19.32
Mean estimation
14.77
Percent 15
20
21.59
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37j | 3.215909 .1713924 2.875248 3.55657
10
12.5
5
4.545
0
2.273
1
2
3
4 q37j
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37j
5
6
7
Figure 113. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? stärkere Winde How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? stronger winds 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 27.27
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
15.91
Mean estimation
17.05
Number of obs =
88
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37k | 3.295455 .1680914 2.961355 3.629554
10.23
10
Percent
20
20.45
5.682
0
3.409
1
2
3
4 q37k
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37k
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
89
Figure 114. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Sturmfluten How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? l. more storm floods 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 28.74
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
Mean estimation
Percent
17.24
17.24
Number of obs =
87
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37l | 3.37931 .1770299 3.027387 3.731234
14.94
10
11.49
4.598
0
5.747
1
2
3
4 q37l
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37l
5
6
7
Figure 115. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Eis im Meer How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur?. more sea ice 30
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 27.06
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
20
24.71
Percent
18.82
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
85
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37m | 2.964706 .1874546 2.591932 3.33748
10
14.12
7.059 5.882
0
2.353
1
2
3
4 q37m
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37m
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
90
Figure 116. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? weniger Eis im Meer
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? less sea ice gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 29.07
27.91
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Percent
Mean estimation 15.12
86
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37n | 2.94186 .1776535 2.588638 3.295083
10
15.12
Number of obs =
6.977 4.651
0
1.163
1
2
3
4 q37n
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37n
5
6
7
Figure 117. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? stärkere Stranderosion
25
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? increased beach erosion gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 24.71
20
22.35
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
18.82
15.29
Percent 15
Mean estimation
Number of obs =
85
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37o | 3.211765 .1732003 2.867337 3.556193
10
10.59
5
4.706
0
3.529
1
2
3
4 q37o
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37o
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
91
Figure 118. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Überschwemmungen durch Schnee oder Regen
25
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? more floods from snow or rain gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 24.72 22.47
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
14.61
Number of obs =
89
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37p | 3.314607 .1747576 2.967313 3.661901
10.11
10
Percent 15
16.85
6.742
0
5
4.494
1
2
3
4 q37p
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37p
5
6
7
Figure 119. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? weniger Sonnenstunden
30
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? less sunshine hours gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 27.91
26.74
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
Mean estimation
Percent
17.44 15.12
Number of obs =
86
10
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------qq | 2.918605 .1736508 2.57334 3.263869 6.977 3.488
0
2.326
1
2
3
4 qq
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 qq
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
92
Figure 120. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? mehr Sonnenstunden How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? more sunshine hours 40
gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much
30
33.72
Mean estimation 23.26
86
Percent 20
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------qr | 3.174419 .1775281 2.821445 3.527392 12.79
10
13.95
Number of obs =
8.14 3.488
0
4.651
1
2
3
qr
4
5
6
7 1
2
3
4 qr
5
6
7
Figure 121. Angenommen, die folgenden Umweltveränderungen treten ein: Wie gut sind Sie informiert über das, was in Ihrer Region zur Anpassung getan werden kann? Meeresspiegelanstieg
25
How aware are you of things that could be done in your region to adapt to the following should they occur? sea level rise gar nicht 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr gut 23.53
20
not at all 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very much 20 18.82
15.29
Percent 15
Mean estimation
85
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q37s | 3.282353 .1920053 2.900529 3.664177
9.412
10
Number of obs =
7.059
0
5
5.882
1
2
3
4 q37s
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q37s
5
6
7
Perceptions of regional decision makers concerning climate change
93
Figure 122. Welche wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen hätten Anpassungsstrategien Ihrer Meinung nach in Ihrer Region? (der Wert 4 steht für "keine Auswirkung auf die Wirtschaft") In your opinion, in your region adaptation strategies would result in what economic impact? (a value of 4 indicates no economic impacts). 40
sehr negative Auswirkungen 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 sehr positive Auswirkungen
36.36
30
very negative impact 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 very positive impact
Percent 20
Mean estimation
18.18
99
-------------------------------------------------------------| Mean Std. Err. [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+-----------------------------------------------q38 | 4.434343 .130932 4.174513 4.694174
17.17
16.16
Number of obs =
10
9.091
0
3.03
1
2
3
4 q38
5
6
7 1
2
3
4
q38
5
6
7