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Casino Games and the Central Limit Theorem - Digital Scholarship ...
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William
F. Harrah College of Hotel. Administration. 4505 Maryland Par way. Las Vegas, NV, 89154. Email: a
[email protected]
. Anthony F.
Lucas
, Ph.D.
Casino Games and the Central Limit Theorem
1
Ashok Singh, Ph. D.* Rohan J. Dalpatadu, Ph.D. Dennis J. Murphy, Ph.D.
Abstract
Administration Email:
Introduction Administration
Department of Mathematical Sciences Email:
Senior Statistician Email:
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
Applications of the central limit theorem exist in the gaming literature as well.
experiments.
sample sizes that are meaningful to gaming operators. CLT and the Berry-Esseen Theorem
P(
x / n
x)
(x )
(x )
3
max| F x / n
(x )
(x )
3
n
,
3
E(| X - |3 )
onstant.
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
Slot game 1 2 3
1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33
100000 is of no practical value in the present situation. Methodology
programmed using the ggplot2 package in R.
these two areas of the casino. Slot Games
x
x1 x2
xN UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
approximate formula:
hands.
Baccarat
x1 x2
xN
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
sample size. Results summarized in this section. Slot Games
o
that:
approximate formula.
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
n 100 250 500 1000 2000
n 100 250 500 1000 2000
Minimum
Maximum Mean
Median
0.10
sd
Skewness
Kurtosis
Skewness
Kurtosis
1.21
0.53
Minimum
Maximum Mean
Median
0.10 0.32 0.53
sd 1.21 0.55 0.3 0.25
12.21
222.11
n 100 250 500 1000 2000
n 100 250 500 1000 2000
50
Minimum 0.10
Maximum Mean
Median
112.30
sd
Skewness
Kurtosis
1.25
20.25
Minimum
Maximum Mean
0.13 0.50
Median
sd 1.25
23.32 12.22
0.50
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
Skewness
Kurtosis
:
Game 1 n
Game 2
SIM
Game 3
SIM
SIM
SIM
100 3.11 250
3.15
0.53 2.30
500 1.32 1000
0.20 1.12
1.15
1.21
2000 1.1 0.53 1.23
0.55 1.25
1.02
1.05
1.13 1.32
Baccarat
Conclusions and Limitations
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
51
n
Minimum
100 250 500 1000 2000
Maximum
Mean
Median
Skewness
Kurtosis
0.0010
0.0100 0.0200
0.2500 0.1100 0.0500
0.0100
n
SIM
100 250 500 1000 2000
52
0.1302
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
0.1000 0.0500 0.0300 0.0200
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
53
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
55
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
simulations. UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
Appendix A
1 2 3
1 1 1 3
1 2 2 3
15 15 10 10 20 20
5 5 5 5 5 11 12 10 20 20
5 5 5 5 5 5 15 11 10 20 20
10 10 20 20
100 100 250 11000 2 2 2 2 5
100 100 300 11000 2 2 2 2 5
100 100 250 11000 2 2 2 2 5
100 100 250 11000 3 2 2 2 5
10 20
10 20
10 20
10 20
5
10 11 12 13 15
0.000013
0.001315 0.000110 0.000053 0.000051
20 21 22 23 25
0.000010 0.000001
30 31 32 33 35
1 2 3
2 3 3 5
100 100
0.000013
0.001315 0.000110 0.000051
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
Appendix A
0.000003
50 51 52 53 55
0.000003 0.000010 0.000001
0 50 50 150 250 2 2 2 2
50 50 150 250 2 2 2 2
0.001232
0.000012
0.000115
50 50 150 250 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
50 50 150 250 1 2 2 2 5 5
15 15 10 10 20 20
10 20 20
10 10 20 20
10 10 20 20
100 100 250 250 0
100 100 250 250 0
100 100 250 250 0
100 100 250 250 0
0.000051 0.000003 0.000003 0.000010 0.000001
References
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
pdf
553.
York.
UNLV Gaming Research & Review Journal Volume 17 Issue 2
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