RUPTL ( Power Sector Develepmont Plan ) 2011 – 2020 stipulated that 55,3 GW
is needed to cater the demand of electricity in Indonesia. • The power plant will ...
Electricity Power Development in Indonesia Presented by : I Made Ro Sakya – PT PLN (Persero)
PT PLN (Persero)|
PLN’s Generation Asset Portfolio
As of 31 Mar 2012, PLN has an extensive generation portfolio with total installed capacity of 32,158 MW across Indonesia Kalimantan
Hydro
867 MW
Geotherm al Steamturbine
0 MW 1,175 MW
Combined Cycle
858 MW
Gasturbine
874 MW
Diesel
953 MW
IPP
802 MW
TOTAL
Hydro
32 MW
Steamturbine
201 MW
Combined Cycle
Sumatera
Sulawesi
113 MW
Diesel
969 MW
Others
39 MW
IPP
56 MW
Steamturbine
Geo Steamturbine
567 MW
IPP
384 MW
TOTAL
2,399 MW
198 MW
TOTAL
198 MW
11,409 MW
3,524 MW
Geothermal
439 MW
Steamturbine
12,671 MW
Combined Cycle
7,704 MW
Gas-turbine
3,224 MW
Diesel
3,267 MW
Others
39 MW
IPP
5,389 MW
TOTAL
36,257 MW
Papua Sulawesi
Java-Bali
NTB
NTT
375 MW 12,530 MW
Papua
2,114 MW
Diesel
141 MW
120 MW
Hydro
1 MW
Note: As of 31 Mar 2012
Diesel
Hydro
Maluku
Gas turbine
TOTAL
Maluku
1,470 MW
6,786 MW
IPP
123 MW
Diesel
Combined Cycle Diesel
100 MW
Gas-turbine
Sumatera
Java-Bali
Total
60 MW
Kalimantan
5,556 MW
Hydro
220 MW
Geothermal
60 MW
Gasturbine
TOTAL
Hydro
NTB
4,9147MW 28,471 MW
TOTAL
142 MW
NTT
Diesel
Diesel
Hydro
Geothermal
Hydro TOTAL
53 MW 4 MW
1 MW 58 MW
TOTAL
266 MW 4 MW 270 MW
PT PLN (Persero)|
Electrification Ratio – Asian Countries
Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current electrification rate(1) in Indonesia Low electrification ratio of 73,7 % (as of year-end 2011) underscores undersupply PLN is mandated to implement Fast Track Programs for capacity expansion to meet Indonesia’s growing demand – Aim to achieve 86% electrification rate by end-2016
Electrification Rate for Asian Countries (2009)
2016 target: c. 86% (2)
100%
100%
99%
99%
99%
98% 90% 77%
75%
73% 62% 55% 44%
Singapore
Brunei
China
Malaysia
Source: IEA. (1) Percentage of population with electricity access. (2) Include non-PLN customers. (3) 2011 value.
Thailand
Vietnam
Philippines
Sri Lanka
India
Indonesia (3)
Pakistan
Laos
Nepal
PT PLN (Persero)|
Electrification Ratio (%) 90 80
70
62.4
63.8
2008
2009
68.3
71.2
73.3
75.1
2011
2012E
2013E
78.2
81
83.4
2015E
2016E
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
2010
2014E
Rasio Elektrifikasi
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012 Target
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
PLN
62.4
63.8
68.3
71.2
71.2
73.3
75.1
78.2
81.0
83.4
73.7
73.7
75.9
(PLN+ Non PLN)
4
PT PLN (Persero)|
Electrification Ratio ( as of June 2012)
RIAU:73.4%
R/E
2012 Target
2012 H1
2012 Pred
PLN
71.2%
70.5%
73.3%
(PLN+ Non PLN)
73.7%
72.8%
75.9%
KALTIM:71.1%
KALBAR: 68.4%
SULUT: 74.0%
NAD: 88.1%
MALUT: 62.8%
GORONTALO:54.9%
PAPUA: 30.4%
SULBAR: 63.2%
SUMUT: 84.8% SUMBAR: 74.8%
SULTENG:62.8%
JAMBI: 67.4% BENGKULU: 65.1% BABEL: 88.0%
SUMSEL: 63.0%
KALSEL:72.8% DKI: 93.9%
LAMPUNG: 65.2%
KALTENG: 52.1%
SULTRA:56.8%
MALUKU: 67.1%
SULSEL: 74.1% BANTEN: 77.1% JABAR: 72.8% JATENG:78.1% DIY: 76.0%
JATIM: 72.2% BALI:71,0%
NTB: 49.0%
NTT: 43.5%
PT PLN (Persero)|
5
PT PLN (Persero)|
Generation Fuel Mixed Total Installed Capacity
Installed Capacity by Fuel Type
(GW)
2011
50 45
41
40
G e othe rma l 1%
43
37
35
31
30
26
25
25
26
2016E G e othe rma l 5%
Hydro 11%
Die se l 25%
27
Die se l 2%
Hydro 10 %
Gas 25%
25 20 15
Coa l 38%
10 5 0 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012E
2013E
2014E
Gas 25%
Coa l 58%
Total Energy Sold
Generation by Fuel Type
(TWh)
2011
2016E
300 250 196 200 150
121
129
135
147
158
213
Die se l 23%
G e othe rma l 2%
Hydro 8%
172
Die se lHydro 2% 6%
Gas 26%
100
G e othe rma l 3%
50
Coa l 42%
0 2007 Source: RUPTL
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012E
2013E
2014E
Gas 24%
Coa l 64%
Current Status of Energy Production
PT PLN (Persero)|
1. BASED ON POWER SOURCES Lease Gas; 0,98%
IPP; 20,86%
Lease Fuel Oil; 6,82%
• PLN is the biggest producer for electricity in Indonesia.
Owned ; 71,34%
2. BASED ON PRIMARY ENERGY Geothermal and other, 3.%
Fuel oil, 23.%
• Fossil power plant remain dominant ( 89 % ), mainly Coal Steam Power Plant, Oil and Natural Gas with 42 %, 24 % and 23 % share respectively. • Share of renewable energy is 11 %, which consist of Hydro ( 8 % ) and Geothermal & Other RE ( 3 % ) .
Hydro,8%
Coal, 42% Nat.Gas, 24%
7
PT PLN (Persero)|
Demand of electricity is expected to grow fast
Projection of electricity demand is driven by three main things : Electrification program, To support government program to accelerate electrification ratio Economic growth, To support manufacturing and service companies to produce products and services Captive taking over / meet large consumer demand, To take over captive and to meet large customer demand
13 TWh
31 TWh
IT : 10,8 %
55 TWh 24 TWh IB : 10,2 %
125 TWh
241 TWh JB : 7,8 % 2011
National demand growth 8,46% per year (Jawa-Bali 7.8%, West Indonesia 10,2% dan East Indonesia 10,8%)
2020
PT PLN (Persero)|
Power Generation Additional Capacity
• RUPTL ( Power Sector Develepmont Plan ) 2011 – 2020 stipulated that 55,3 GW is needed to cater the demand of electricity in Indonesia. • The power plant will be dominated by Coal PP (64%). The power plant composition will be : Coal PP 35,6 GW, Hydro PP : 5,7 GW; Geothermal PP : 6,2 GW; Combine Cycle (Gas) : 3,3 GW; Gas Turbine (Gas) : 4,1 GW and others. • Private participations are very welcome in the power development of Indonesia. It is estimated that private participation ( IPP ) will contribute 43% of total capacity needed. ( PLN 31,5 MW and IPP 23,9 GW). 7,000
8.000 7.164
7.192
7.000
1,505
6,000
6.436
IPP PLN
5.944
6.000 5.268
5.034
4.971
5.000
4.274
4.882
5,000
1,106 688
5,172
4.181
4.000
4,000
3.000
3,000
780 4,656
3,690
2,015
1,917 2,463 5,372
2.000
2,000
4,477
4,283
4,102
1.000
3,019 2,357
1,000
-
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CCPP
GTPP
DiePP
2018
2019
2,254
1,992
1,780
1,718
2016
2017
2018
2020
CFPP
GeoPP
HEPP
Others
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2019
2020
9
9
PT PLN (Persero)|
Fuel Mix Indonesia 2011-2020 •
PLN will reduce reliance on fuel oil as a fuel source. Fuel oil as a generating fuel source is more expensive on a Rupiah-per-kilowatt basis than coal, natural gas and geothermal energy. In addition, Indonesia has a substantial amount of coal which can be sourced domestically. • PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy. • PLN will further to utilize more efficienct & Reliabile technology of fossil fuel power plant LNG technology : Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading, Fuel Switching.
Gas 400,000
50% 44%
45% 40%
39%
36%
LNG
350,000
Gas
38%
300,000
35%
Coal
35% 250,000
25%
25%
25% 20%
HSD17%
5%
23%
MFO
15% 10%
25% 22%
21%
GWh
30% 200,000
Oil
150,000
Coal
12% 9%
8%
3%
3%
3%
2008
2009
2010
7% 5%
100,000
Geothermal
Geothermal Hydro Hydro
50,000
0% 2011
2011
Oil
Hydro
Source : RUPTL 2011-2020
Geothermal
Gas
Coal
Impor
2012 Biomass
2013 Surya/Hybrid
2014 HSD
2015 MFO
2016 LNG
Gas
2017 Batubara
2018
2019
Geothermal
2020 Hydro
10
PLN Electricity Development Plan (2011 -2020 )
PT PLN (Persero)|
2020 Non-ReNEW
Hydro
Geothermal
8% 11%
LNG Gas
81% HSD
Coal
MFO
• Share of renewable energy will increase from 11 % ( 2011 ) to be 19 % ( 2020). • Fuel Oil contribution will br reduced from 23 % ( 2011) to 5 % by 2013. Geothermal • Development of renewable energy resources will be thefirst priority. Hydro Hydropower and geothermal will dominate RE development .
11
Renewable Energy Development Plan
PT PLN (Persero)|
• The utillisation of Renewable Energy has been planned, mainly hydro power : 5,722 MW, geothermal : 6,247 MW and other small RE ( 253 MW ). Total RE capacity : 12,223 MW, 55 % expected from IPP.
12 12
DEVELOPMENT PLAN OF SMALL SCALE POWER GENERATION UTILIZING GREEN & NEW ENERGY
PT PLN (Persero)|
Year No
RE Plant
unit 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
TOTAL
MW
23
37
198
126
46
193
203
214
225
235
1500
MWp*)
2
30
50
60
70
70
75
75
80
80
592
1
Mini Hydro
2
Solar PV
3
Wind Power
MW
0
0
10
10
15
15
20
20
25
25
140
4
Biomass
MW
16
33
35
35
35
40
40
45
45
50
374
5
Sea Current
MW
0
0
2
0
0
5
5
5
5
5
27
6
Bio-Fuel
MW**)
-
10
15
15
14
8
7
7
8
9
93
7
Coal Gasification
243
TOTAL
MW
6
32
81
43
22
7
22
14
6
10
MW
47
142
391
289
202
338
372
380
394
414
2,969
Summary
PT PLN (Persero)|
Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current
electrification rate in Indonesia Coal will still the most dominant energy source of electricity, but PLN will utilize more efficient, reliable and cleaner technology of fossil fuel power plant technology : Ultra Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading. PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy.
PT PLN (Persero)|