Electricity Power Development in Indonesia

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RUPTL ( Power Sector Develepmont Plan ) 2011 – 2020 stipulated that 55,3 GW is needed to cater the demand of electricity in Indonesia. • The power plant will ...
Electricity Power Development in Indonesia Presented by : I Made Ro Sakya – PT PLN (Persero)

PT PLN (Persero)|

PLN’s Generation Asset Portfolio

As of 31 Mar 2012, PLN has an extensive generation portfolio with total installed capacity of 32,158 MW across Indonesia Kalimantan

Hydro

867 MW

Geotherm al Steamturbine

0 MW 1,175 MW

Combined Cycle

858 MW

Gasturbine

874 MW

Diesel

953 MW

IPP

802 MW

TOTAL

Hydro

32 MW

Steamturbine

201 MW

Combined Cycle

Sumatera

Sulawesi

113 MW

Diesel

969 MW

Others

39 MW

IPP

56 MW

Steamturbine

Geo Steamturbine

567 MW

IPP

384 MW

TOTAL

2,399 MW

198 MW

TOTAL

198 MW

11,409 MW

3,524 MW

Geothermal

439 MW

Steamturbine

12,671 MW

Combined Cycle

7,704 MW

Gas-turbine

3,224 MW

Diesel

3,267 MW

Others

39 MW

IPP

5,389 MW

TOTAL

36,257 MW

Papua Sulawesi

Java-Bali

NTB

NTT

375 MW 12,530 MW

Papua

2,114 MW

Diesel

141 MW

120 MW

Hydro

1 MW

Note: As of 31 Mar 2012

Diesel

Hydro

Maluku

Gas turbine

TOTAL

Maluku

1,470 MW

6,786 MW

IPP

123 MW

Diesel

Combined Cycle Diesel

100 MW

Gas-turbine

Sumatera

Java-Bali

Total

60 MW

Kalimantan

5,556 MW

Hydro

220 MW

Geothermal

60 MW

Gasturbine

TOTAL

Hydro

NTB

4,9147MW 28,471 MW

TOTAL

142 MW

NTT

Diesel

Diesel

Hydro

Geothermal

Hydro TOTAL

53 MW 4 MW

1 MW 58 MW

TOTAL

266 MW 4 MW 270 MW

PT PLN (Persero)|

Electrification Ratio – Asian Countries

Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current electrification rate(1) in Indonesia  Low electrification ratio of 73,7 % (as of year-end 2011) underscores undersupply  PLN is mandated to implement Fast Track Programs for capacity expansion to meet Indonesia’s growing demand – Aim to achieve 86% electrification rate by end-2016

Electrification Rate for Asian Countries (2009)

2016 target: c. 86% (2)

100%

100%

99%

99%

99%

98% 90% 77%

75%

73% 62% 55% 44%

Singapore

Brunei

China

Malaysia

Source: IEA. (1) Percentage of population with electricity access. (2) Include non-PLN customers. (3) 2011 value.

Thailand

Vietnam

Philippines

Sri Lanka

India

Indonesia (3)

Pakistan

Laos

Nepal

PT PLN (Persero)|

Electrification Ratio (%) 90 80

70

62.4

63.8

2008

2009

68.3

71.2

73.3

75.1

2011

2012E

2013E

78.2

81

83.4

2015E

2016E

60 50 40 30 20 10 0

2010

2014E

Rasio Elektrifikasi

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012 Target

2012E

2013E

2014E

2015E

2016E

PLN

62.4

63.8

68.3

71.2

71.2

73.3

75.1

78.2

81.0

83.4

73.7

73.7

75.9

(PLN+ Non PLN)

4

PT PLN (Persero)|

Electrification Ratio ( as of June 2012)

RIAU:73.4%

R/E

2012 Target

2012 H1

2012 Pred

PLN

71.2%

70.5%

73.3%

(PLN+ Non PLN)

73.7%

72.8%

75.9%

KALTIM:71.1%

KALBAR: 68.4%

SULUT: 74.0%

NAD: 88.1%

MALUT: 62.8%

GORONTALO:54.9%

PAPUA: 30.4%

SULBAR: 63.2%

SUMUT: 84.8% SUMBAR: 74.8%

SULTENG:62.8%

JAMBI: 67.4% BENGKULU: 65.1% BABEL: 88.0%

SUMSEL: 63.0%

KALSEL:72.8% DKI: 93.9%

LAMPUNG: 65.2%

KALTENG: 52.1%

SULTRA:56.8%

MALUKU: 67.1%

SULSEL: 74.1% BANTEN: 77.1% JABAR: 72.8% JATENG:78.1% DIY: 76.0%

JATIM: 72.2% BALI:71,0%

NTB: 49.0%

NTT: 43.5%

PT PLN (Persero)|

5

PT PLN (Persero)|

Generation Fuel Mixed Total Installed Capacity

Installed Capacity by Fuel Type

(GW)

2011

50 45

41

40

G e othe rma l 1%

43

37

35

31

30

26

25

25

26

2016E G e othe rma l 5%

Hydro 11%

Die se l 25%

27

Die se l 2%

Hydro 10 %

Gas 25%

25 20 15

Coa l 38%

10 5 0 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012E

2013E

2014E

Gas 25%

Coa l 58%

Total Energy Sold

Generation by Fuel Type

(TWh)

2011

2016E

300 250 196 200 150

121

129

135

147

158

213

Die se l 23%

G e othe rma l 2%

Hydro 8%

172

Die se lHydro 2% 6%

Gas 26%

100

G e othe rma l 3%

50

Coa l 42%

0 2007 Source: RUPTL

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012E

2013E

2014E

Gas 24%

Coa l 64%

Current Status of Energy Production

PT PLN (Persero)|

1. BASED ON POWER SOURCES Lease Gas; 0,98%

IPP; 20,86%

Lease Fuel Oil; 6,82%

• PLN is the biggest producer for electricity in Indonesia.

Owned ; 71,34%

2. BASED ON PRIMARY ENERGY Geothermal and other, 3.%

Fuel oil, 23.%

• Fossil power plant remain dominant ( 89 % ), mainly Coal Steam Power Plant, Oil and Natural Gas with 42 %, 24 % and 23 % share respectively. • Share of renewable energy is 11 %, which consist of Hydro ( 8 % ) and Geothermal & Other RE ( 3 % ) .

Hydro,8%

Coal, 42% Nat.Gas, 24%

7

PT PLN (Persero)|

Demand of electricity is expected to grow fast

Projection of electricity demand is driven by three main things :  Electrification program, To support government program to accelerate electrification ratio  Economic growth, To support manufacturing and service companies to produce products and services  Captive taking over / meet large consumer demand, To take over captive and to meet large customer demand

13 TWh

31 TWh

IT : 10,8 %

55 TWh 24 TWh IB : 10,2 %

125 TWh

241 TWh JB : 7,8 % 2011

National demand growth 8,46% per year (Jawa-Bali 7.8%, West Indonesia 10,2% dan East Indonesia 10,8%)

2020

PT PLN (Persero)|

Power Generation Additional Capacity

• RUPTL ( Power Sector Develepmont Plan ) 2011 – 2020 stipulated that 55,3 GW is needed to cater the demand of electricity in Indonesia. • The power plant will be dominated by Coal PP (64%). The power plant composition will be : Coal PP 35,6 GW, Hydro PP : 5,7 GW; Geothermal PP : 6,2 GW; Combine Cycle (Gas) : 3,3 GW; Gas Turbine (Gas) : 4,1 GW and others. • Private participations are very welcome in the power development of Indonesia. It is estimated that private participation ( IPP ) will contribute 43% of total capacity needed. ( PLN 31,5 MW and IPP 23,9 GW). 7,000

8.000 7.164

7.192

7.000

1,505

6,000

6.436

IPP PLN

5.944

6.000 5.268

5.034

4.971

5.000

4.274

4.882

5,000

1,106 688

5,172

4.181

4.000

4,000

3.000

3,000

780 4,656

3,690

2,015

1,917 2,463 5,372

2.000

2,000

4,477

4,283

4,102

1.000

3,019 2,357

1,000

-

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

CCPP

GTPP

DiePP

2018

2019

2,254

1,992

1,780

1,718

2016

2017

2018

2020

CFPP

GeoPP

HEPP

Others

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2019

2020

9

9

PT PLN (Persero)|

Fuel Mix Indonesia 2011-2020 •

PLN will reduce reliance on fuel oil as a fuel source. Fuel oil as a generating fuel source is more expensive on a Rupiah-per-kilowatt basis than coal, natural gas and geothermal energy. In addition, Indonesia has a substantial amount of coal which can be sourced domestically. • PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy. • PLN will further to utilize more efficienct & Reliabile technology of fossil fuel power plant LNG technology : Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading, Fuel Switching.

Gas 400,000

50% 44%

45% 40%

39%

36%

LNG

350,000

Gas

38%

300,000

35%

Coal

35% 250,000

25%

25%

25% 20%

HSD17%

5%

23%

MFO

15% 10%

25% 22%

21%

GWh

30% 200,000

Oil

150,000

Coal

12% 9%

8%

3%

3%

3%

2008

2009

2010

7% 5%

100,000

Geothermal

Geothermal Hydro Hydro

50,000

0% 2011

2011

Oil

Hydro

Source : RUPTL 2011-2020

Geothermal

Gas

Coal

Impor

2012 Biomass

2013 Surya/Hybrid

2014 HSD

2015 MFO

2016 LNG

Gas

2017 Batubara

2018

2019

Geothermal

2020 Hydro

10

PLN Electricity Development Plan (2011 -2020 )

PT PLN (Persero)|

2020 Non-ReNEW

Hydro

Geothermal

8% 11%

LNG Gas

81% HSD

Coal

MFO

• Share of renewable energy will increase from 11 % ( 2011 ) to be 19 % ( 2020). • Fuel Oil contribution will br reduced from 23 % ( 2011) to 5 % by 2013. Geothermal • Development of renewable energy resources will be thefirst priority. Hydro Hydropower and geothermal will dominate RE development .

11

Renewable Energy Development Plan

PT PLN (Persero)|

• The utillisation of Renewable Energy has been planned, mainly hydro power : 5,722 MW, geothermal : 6,247 MW and other small RE ( 253 MW ). Total RE capacity : 12,223 MW, 55 % expected from IPP.

12 12

DEVELOPMENT PLAN OF SMALL SCALE POWER GENERATION UTILIZING GREEN & NEW ENERGY

PT PLN (Persero)|

Year No

RE Plant

unit 2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

TOTAL

MW

23

37

198

126

46

193

203

214

225

235

1500

MWp*)

2

30

50

60

70

70

75

75

80

80

592

1

Mini Hydro

2

Solar PV

3

Wind Power

MW

0

0

10

10

15

15

20

20

25

25

140

4

Biomass

MW

16

33

35

35

35

40

40

45

45

50

374

5

Sea Current

MW

0

0

2

0

0

5

5

5

5

5

27

6

Bio-Fuel

MW**)

-

10

15

15

14

8

7

7

8

9

93

7

Coal Gasification

243

TOTAL

MW

6

32

81

43

22

7

22

14

6

10

MW

47

142

391

289

202

338

372

380

394

414

2,969

Summary

PT PLN (Persero)|

 Ample room for growth in the electricity sector based on the current

electrification rate in Indonesia  Coal will still the most dominant energy source of electricity, but PLN will utilize more efficient, reliable and cleaner technology of fossil fuel power plant technology : Ultra Supercritical Technology, Coal Upgrading.  PLN will prioritize on the development of green power plant technology such as Geothermal, hydro , solar and other form of renewable energy.

PT PLN (Persero)|