NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

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Oct 1, 2013 ... NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey. Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 800 ...

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 800 Adults, including 240 cell phone only respondents

Date: October 7-9, 2013

48 Male 52 Female

Study #13413 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is ±3.46%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.) 18-24 .................................................................... 25-29 .................................................................... 30-34 .................................................................... 35-39 .................................................................... 40-44 .................................................................... 45-49 .................................................................... 50-54 .................................................................... 55-59 .................................................................... 60-64 .................................................................... 65-69 .................................................................... 70-74 .................................................................... 75 and over .......................................................... Not sure/refused ................................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... No, not Hispanic .............................................. Not sure/refused ............................................

Q2c

10 7 11 8 11 7 9 9 11 6 4 6 1

11 88 1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .............................................................. Black .............................................................. Asian .............................................................. Other .............................................................. Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. Not sure/refused ..........................................

74 12 3 3 6 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013 Q3

Study #13413 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High

Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track ............... Mixed (VOL) ............................ Not sure ...................................

10/79/13 14 78 4 4

9/13 30 62 5 3

7/13 29 61 6 4

6/13 32 59 6 3

4/13 31 61 5 3

2/13 32 59 6 3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

9/01 72 11 11 6

Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3

10/12+ 41 53 4 2

9/2630/12+ 40 53 5 2

9/1216/12+ 39 55 4 2

8/12+ 32 61 4 3

7/12+ 32 60 5 3

6/12 31 61 5 3

5/12 33 58 5 4

4/12 33 59 6 2

3/12 33 58 5 4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 19 73 5 3

10/11 17 74 5 4

8/11 19 73 5 3

7/11 25 67 5 3

6/11 29 62 6 3

5/11 36 50 10 4

4/11 28 63 6 3

2/11 31 60 6 3

1/11 35 56 5 4

12/10 28 63 6 3

11/10 32 58 6 4

10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4

10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3

9/10 32 59 5 4

8/2630/10 30 61 6 3

8/59/10 32 58 6 4

6/10 29 62 5 4

5/611/10 34 56 6 4

3/10 33 59 5 3

1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3

1/1014/10 34 54 10 2

12/09 33 55 10 2

10/09 36 52 9 3

9/09 39 48 10 3

7/09 39 49 9 3

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 43 43 10 4

2/09 41 44 9 6

1/09 26 59 9 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013 Q4

Study #13413 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Approve ................. Disapprove ............ Not sure ..............

10/79/13 47 48 5

9/13 45 50 5

High

Low

8/13 44 48 8

7/13 45 50 5

6/13 48 47 5

4/13 47 48 5

2/13 50 45 5

1/13 52 44 4

12/12 53 43 4

4/09 61 30 9

11/11 44 51 5

10/12+ 49 48 3

9/2630/12+ 49 48 3

9/1216/12+ 50 48 2

8/12+ 48 49 3

7/12+ 49 48 3

6/12 47 48 5

5/12 48 46 6

4/12 49 46 5

3/12 50 45 5

1/12 48 46 6

12/11 46 48 6

11/11 44 51 5

10/11 44 51 5

8/11 44 51 5

7/11 47 48 5

6/11 49 46 5

5/11 52 41 7

4/11 49 45 6

2/11 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

12/10 45 48 7

11/10 47 47 6

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

10/1418/10+ 47 49 4

9/10 46 49 5

8/2630/10 45 49 6

8/59/10 47 48 5

6/10 45 48 7

5/2023/10 48 45 7

5/611/10 50 44 6

3/10 48 47 5

1/2325/10 50 44 6

1/1014/10 48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 51 40 9

7/09 53 40 7

6/09 56 34 10

4/09 61 30 9

2/09 60 26 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013 Q5

Study #13413 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups. I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1 October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... July 2013 ..................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013..................................... February 2013.............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. September 12-16, 2012+ ............. August 2012+............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... February 2011.............................. January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010...................... August 5-9, 2010.......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009.............................. January 2009 ...............................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

26 25 28 28 30 31 31 37 34 37 35 31 33 29 32 30 28 28 22 26 23 24 27 33 28 28 29 25 28 29 29 29 26 27 27 28 29 31 29 29 36 38 37 41 45 47 43

21 20 20 19 17 18 21 16 15 15 13 17 16 19 17 18 21 22 23 19 23 20 22 21 22 21 23 23 21 18 19 18 20 19 20 19 20 19 23 21 20 18 18 19 19 21 23

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

11 12 12 13 10 11 11 9 8 6 9 8 8 14 10 13 14 10 13 15 14 12 14 14 14 15 15 14 12 12 9 12 12 13 13 15 12 11 14 13 11 11 10 11 12 12 17

11 16 14 12 15 14 11 14 12 11 11 13 11 11 12 13 12 14 15 13 12 14 13 13 13 15 14 14 13 15 17 14 14 14 15 14 14 14 14 15 12 14 14 12 10 9 8

30 26 26 28 27 26 26 24 31 31 31 30 32 27 29 26 25 25 27 27 28 30 24 18 23 20 18 24 26 27 26 27 27 27 25 24 24 24 20 22 21 19 20 17 13 10 6

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

10

1

30

-

6

40

Barack Obama High February 2009 ..................................... 47 21 12 9 Presidential Term Low August 2011 ........................................ 24 20 12 14 All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ ......................... 14 17 18 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd) The Republican Party1 October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013.................... February 2013 .............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ............................ October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ .................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ............................ October 2009 ............................... September 2009 ........................... July 2009 ...................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 ..................................... February 2009 .............................. High December 2001 ............................ Low October 7-9, 2013 ........................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 21 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 23 19 19 22 19

21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 27 27 29 29 25 24

24 23 18 20 24 18 18 18 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 22 20 18 24 24 23 22 21 23 22 25

29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 23 21 20 21 22 22

2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3

21

36

18

13

9

3

7

17

21

24

29

2

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 10 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 5 9 6 7 7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd) The Democratic Party1 October 7-9, 2013........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 .................................... March 2012.................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................ June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 .................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+.................. October 14-18, 2010+.................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010.......................... May 6-11, 2010............................ March 2010.................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 .................................... February 2009 .............................. December 2008 ............................ High January 2000 ................................ Low July 2006 ......................................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 24 26 26 28 25 27 25 28 27 29 26 28 29 32

18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 21 18 19 19 22 20 19 20 18 19 16 19 18 22

20 20 19 17 19 16 17 17 17 17 18 21 19 18 21 23 18 20 19 19 18 18 19 18 18 19 19 20 19 18 20 18 18 19 17 18 19 14 17 17 16 15 14 15

20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 24 22 24 24 21 23 26 22 22 20 21 19 17 13

3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1

20

30

23

15

10

2

7

25

27

22

17

2

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 11 15 11 9 14 11 10 14 14 13 19 17 20 17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd) Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

9 9 11 9 14 10 10 10 12 12 11 13 13 13 15 14 14 14 15 12 14 15 16 13 14

12 16 15 14 14 17 18 17 15 16 17 15 16 16 18 16 18 16 15 16 16 19 15 16 14

20 23 26 20 23 23 19 21 21 21 20 20 20 22 20 21 18 20 21 19 23 21 21 22 20

13 15 13 15 14 11 16 15 14 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11 13 12 12 12 10 10 6

34 27 25 32 29 27 27 28 30 29 29 27 30 24 23 25 28 27 23 24 22 19 20 18 15

12 10 11 10 6 12 10 9 8 10 9 11 7 11 10 11 10 12 13 17 13 14 18 21 31

15

19

21

12

19

14

9

12

20

13

34

12

John Boehner October 7-9, 2013 ........................ January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... January 2012 ............................... February 2011 ............................. January 2011 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... October 2009 ............................... January 2007 ...............................

5 3 3 4 6 7 8 3 5 2 1

12 15 16 14 14 16 11 11 9 7 4

20 23 23 22 22 23 20 16 19 12 12

17 18 14 16 9 9 7 6 8 7 4

25 19 15 16 12 6 10 12 9 8 2

21 22 29 28 37 39 44 52 50 64 77

Harry Reid October 7-9, 2013 ........................ January 2013 ............................... January 2012 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ September 2010 .......................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... January 10-14, 2010 ................... October 2009 ............................... January 2009 .............................. January 2007 ............................... September 2006+ ........................ February 2005 .............................

5 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 4

13 12 10 11 12 9 10 12 12 9 8 7

16 20 23 20 20 22 20 18 22 13 15 21

12 10 10 11 12 7 8 7 10 9 6 5

20 18 21 21 20 24 24 19 11 8 12 3

34 36 32 34 33 36 35 42 43 58 57 60

Ted Cruz October 7-9, 2013 ........................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

7 4

7 6

13 13

8 4

20 8

44 65

The Tea Party Movement October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... January 2013 ............................... July 2012+ ................................... April 2012..................................... January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011................................. June 2011 .................................... April 2011..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... High June 2010 .................................... Low October 7-9, 2013 ........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL D/S POSITIVE NEGATIVE Barack Obama ................................................. 47 41 6 39 40 -1 The Democratic Party ...................................... Ted Cruz .......................................................... 14 28 -14 18 32 -14 Harry Reid ....................................................... John Boehner .................................................. 17 42 -25 21 47 -26 The Tea Party Movement ................................ The Republican Party ...................................... 24 53 -29

(ROTATE Q6 AND Q7) Q6 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Republicans in Congress are doing? 10/79/13 Approve ................................ 24 Disapprove ........................... 70 Not sure .............................. 6

Q7

12/11 26 69 5

7/11 25 67 8

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Democrats in Congress are doing?

Approve ................................. Disapprove ............................ Not sure ..............................

10/79/13 36 59 5

12/11 31 62 7

7/11 33 60 7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, although it’s a long way off… Q8 What is your preference for the outcome of NEXT year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

Republican-controlled Congress .......... Democrat-controlled Congress ............. Not sure ..............................................

10/79/13+ 39 47 14

9/13+ 43 46 11

7/13+ 44 44 12

6/13+ 42 45 13

10/12+ 43 45 12

9/2630/12+ 43 47 10

8/12+ 42 47 11

7/12+ 45 46 9

6/12+ 44 45 11

5/12+ 43 44 13

4/12+ 44 46 10

3/12+ 41 46 13

1/12+ 41 47 12

12/11+ 43 45 12

11/11+ 43 46 11

10/11+ 41 45 14

8/11+ 47 41 12

6/11+ 44 44 12

10/10+ 44 46 10

9/10+ 44 44 12

8/2630/10+ 43 43 14

8/59/10+ 42 43 15

6/10+ 45 43 12

5/2023/10+ 44 43 13

5/611/10+ 44 44 12

3/10+ 42 45 13

1/2325/10+ 42 44 14

1/1014/10+ 41 41 18

12/09+ 41 43 16

10/09+ 38 46 16

9/09+ 40 43 17

7/09+ 39 46 15

4/09+ 39 48 13

11/08+ 36 48 16

10/08+ 36 49 15

9/08+ 37 50 13

8/08+ 36 47 17

7/08+ 36 49 15

6/08+ 33 52 15

4/08+ 34 49 17

3/08+ 35 49 16

11/07+ 37 46 17

9/07+ 35 47 18

10/06+ 37 52 11

9/06+ 39 48 13

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 38 49 13

4/06+ 39 45 16

3/06+ 37 50 13

1/06+ 38 47 15

12/05+ 38 46 16

11/05+ 37 48 15

10/05+ 39 48 13

7/05+ 40 45 15

5/05+ 40 47 13

10/04+ 43 44 13

9/04+ 42 46 12

6/04+ 42 44 14

5/04+ 41 44 15

3/04+ 42 45 13

1/04 42 43 15

12/13/03 42 42 16

10/02+ 43 42 15

9/02 42 42 16

7/02 43 41 16

6/02 42 41 17

1/02 44 40 16

12/01 42 40 18

12/99 40 44 16

10/99 39 41 20

7/99 39 43 18

6/99 42 41 17

4/99 41 40 19

3/99 37 43 20

10/98+ 41 43 16

9/98 40 39 21

7/98 41 40 19

6/98 39 40 21

2/98 41 37 22

1/98 40 42 18

12/97 41 37 22

9/97 41 39 20

7/97 45 39 16

4/97 44 38 18

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013 Q9

Study #13413 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

If there were a place on your ballot that allowed you to vote to defeat and replace every single member of Congress, including your own representative, would you do this, or not? 10/79/13+** 60 Yes ............. No .............. 35 Not sure ... 5

7/13+ 57 39 4

1/12+ 56 40 4

8/11+ 54 41 5

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

8/2630/10+ 48 49 3

6/10+ 47 50 3

3/10+ 50 47 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Now, thinking about something else… Q10 I'm going to read you two statements about the role of government, and I'd like to know which one comes closer to your point of view. (ROTATE STATEMENTS.) Statement A: Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people, OR Statement B: Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals.

A/Government should do more ...................... B/Government is doing too many things ........ Some of both (VOL) ..................................... Not sure .......................................................

1

10/79/13 52 44 2 2

6/13 48 48 2 2

2/11 51 46 2 1

10/10+ 45 50 2 3

8/2630/10 47 47 3 3

6/10 47 49 2 2

1/1014/10 43 48 6 3

12/09 44 47 7 2

10/09 46 48 5 1

9/09 45 49 5 1

4/09 47 46 6 1

2/09 51 40 7 2

10/45/08+ 47 45 7 1

9/1922/08+ 48 42 8 2

7/08+ 53 42 NA 5

9/07 55 38 6 1

3/07 52 40 6 2

1/02 45 43 9 3

12/97 41 51 5 3

12/951 32 62 NA 6

6/12 49 47 2 2

6/11 51 46 2 1

In December 1995, the question was phrased, “Some people think the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses. Others think that government should do more to solve our country's problems. Which comes closer to your own view?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, turning to the economy... Q11 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

Economy will get better ..................... Economy will get worse .................... Economy will stay about the same.... Not sure ..........................................

10/79/13 17 42 38 3

9/13 27 24 48 1

7/13 31 21 47 1

6/13 32 18 49 1

12/12 38 28 33 1

10/12+ 45 9 34 12

9/2630/12+ 44 13 35 8

9/1216/12+ 42 18 32 8

8/12+ 36 18 38 8

7/12+ 27 25 45 3

6/12 35 20 41 4

5/12 33 19 46 2

4/12 38 19 42 1

3/12 40 23 35 2

1/12 37 17 44 2

12/11 30 22 47 1

11/11 25 28 47 -

10/11 21 32 45 2

8/11 22 30 47 1

7/11 26 31 41 2

6/11 29 30 39 2

4/11 33 21 46 -

2/11 29 29 41 1

1/11 40 17 42 1

12/10 32 24 42 2

11/10 37 15 46 2

10/1418/10+ 37 20 41 2

9/10 32 24 41 3

8/2630/10 26 26 45 3

8/59/10 34 25 39 2

6/10 33 23 43 1

5/610/10 40 20 38 2

3/10 41 22 36 1

1/1014/10 41 19 38 2

10/09 42 22 33 3

9/09 47 20 30 3

7/09 44 21 32 3

6/09 46 22 29 3

4/09 38 30 30 2

10/08+ 38 20 37 5

10/06+ 22 22 51 5

10/04+ 43 10 33 14

10/02+ 41 20 34 5

10/98+ 17 24 54 5

10/94 31 24 40 5

1

Prior to April 2001, the question was phrased, “Over the next year…” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q12

Thinking about President Obama and Republicans in Congress and their negotiations about the budget, does it make you feel -- (ROTATE) more confident or less confident – about the economy getting better or does it not make a difference in your opinion one way or the other?

More confident ................... Less confident ................... No difference ..................... Not sure ...........................

10/79/13 7 63 28 2

2/13 16 51 29 4

1/13 16 51 31 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about the recent debate over the federal budget… Q13 As you know, President Obama and the Republicans in Congress have not reached a budget agreement, and this has led to a shutdown of the federal government. Who do you think is more to blame for this shutdown -President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? President Obama .................... Republicans in Congress ......... Both equal (VOL) ................... Not sure ..................................

31 53 13 3

1995 If President Clinton and the Republican Congress do not reach an agreement to balance the budget, who do you think will be more to blame--President Clinton or the Republican Congress?

President Clinton ............................... Republican Congress ......................... Both equal (VOL).............................. Not sure ............................................ 1

1/96 33 44 18 5

11/951 27 47 20 6

10/952 32 43 18 7

In November 1995, the question read, "As you know, President Clinton and the Republican Congress have not reached a budget agreement, and this has led to a shutdown of the federal government. Who do you think is more to blame for this shutdown. . .". 2 In October 1995, the question read, "If President Clinton and the Republican Congress do not reach a budget agreement in time to avoid a major shutdown of the federal government. . ."

Q14

In your view, how serious a problem is this shutdown of the federal government -- extremely serious, quite serious, just somewhat serious, or not that serious?

Extremely serious .......................... Quite serious .................................. Just somewhat serious .................. Not that serious .............................. Not sure .......................................

Q15

10/79/13 46 27 18 9 -

11/95 29 28 23 18 2

Have you or anyone in your family been affected by the federal government shutdown, in terms of employment, services, or benefits? 10/79/13 Yes, have been affected ............. 31 No, have not been affected ....... 68 Not sure .................................... 1

1/96 18 81 1

11/95 18 81 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ROTATE Q16a AND Q16b) Q16a Which of these is closer to your own view of President Obama’s actions and positions during the current budget disagreement? A) He is being a strong leader and standing up for what he believes in ......................................................... B) He is putting his own political agenda ahead of what's good for the country ............................................ Both equal (VOL) .......................................................... Not sure ........................................................................

46 51 1 2

November 1995 Which of these is closer to your own view of President Clinton’s actions and positions during the current budget disagreement? A) He is being a strong leader and standing up for what he believes in ........................................................ B) He is putting his own political agenda ahead of what's good for the country............................................ Both equal (VOL) ......................................................... Not sure........................................................................

Q16b

43 4 4

Which of these is closer to your own view of Congressional Republicans’ actions and positions during the current budget disagreement? A) They are demonstrating strong leadership and standing up for what they believe in ............................... B) They are putting their own political agenda ahead of what is good for the country ........................................... Both equal (VOL) .......................................................... Not sure ........................................................................

Q17

49

27 70 1 2

How much harm, if any, is the government shutdown having on the U.S. economy – a great deal, quite a bit, just some, very little, or none at all? Great deal ............................. Quite a bit ............................. Just some ............................. Very little ............................... None at all ............................ Not sure .............................

34 31 21 10 2 2

(ASKED OF FORM A ON 10/7-8 ONLY) Q18a In your own words, what word or short phrase best describes how you think President Obama has handled the budget negotiations? SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

(ASKED OF FORM B ON 10/7-8 ONLY) Q18b In your own words, what word or short phrase best describes how you think Republicans in Congress have handled the budget negotiations? SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, talking a moment about something called the federal debt ceiling… Q19 The federal debt ceiling limits the amount of money the government can borrow. When the U.S. Treasury needs to issue debt above the ceiling in order to avoid going into bankruptcy and to pay the government’s bills, Congress needs to vote to raise the ceiling. Which of the following causes you more concern? That Congress will not raise the debt ceiling and the federal government will not pay its bills, such as defaulting on its loans and not making payments to Social Security recipients and government workers ............... That Congress will raise the debt ceiling and that federal spending will increase and the government will go further into debt as a result ............... Or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time ........... Not sure...........................................................................................................

37 41 19 3

CNBC Trend The federal debt ceiling limits the amount of money the government can borrow. When the U.S. Treasury needs to issue debt above the ceiling in order to avoid going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its obligations, Congress needs to vote to raise the ceiling. Which of the following causes you more concern?

That Congress will not raise the debt ceiling and the federal government will not meet its financial obligations, such as defaulting on its loans and not making payments to Social Security recipients and government workers ........................................................................... That Congress will raise the debt ceiling and that federal spending will increase and the government will go further into debt as a result .............. Or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time...... Not sure ...................................................................................................

Q20

9/13

6/13

6/11

41

32

25

47 6 6

39 22 7

49 19 7

The president has asked Congress to raise the debt ceiling, and the Congress is currently considering whether to raise it. If Congress does not vote to raise the debt ceiling, do you believe that this would be a real and serious problem or not? If you do not know enough to have an opinion, please say so.

A real and serious problem .......................... Not a real and serious problem .................... Don’t know enough to have opinion ............. Not sure .....................................................

10/79/13* 63 15 22 1

7/111 55 18 25 2

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). 1 In July 2011, the question read “Right now Congress and the president are negotiating about whether and how much to raise the debt ceiling…”

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now as you may know, Barack Obama’s health care plan was passed by Congress and signed into law in 2010… Q21 From what you have heard about the new health care law, do you think it is (ROTATE) – a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (IF GOOD IDEA/BAD IDEA, ASK:) And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?

Total Good idea ............. Strongly ........................... Not so strongly ............... Total Bad idea ................ Not so strongly ............... Strongly ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure ........................

10/79/13 38 31 7 43 5 38 17 2

9/13 31 24 7 44 6 38 24 1

7/13 34 26 8 47 6 41 18 1

6/13 37 28 9 49 6 43 13 1

7/12+ 40 31 9 44 5 39 15 1

6/12 35 25 10 41 6 35 22 2

4/12 36 27 9 45 6 39 17 2

12/11 34 23 11 41 8 33 24 1

1/11  39 29 10 39 5 34 21 1

10/1418/10+ 36 25 11 46 5 41 16 2

Good idea ........................ Bad idea ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure ........................

3/10 36 48 15 1

1/2325/10 31 46 22 1

1/1014/10 33 46 18 3

12/09 32 47 17 4

10/09 38 42 16 4

9/09 39 41 17 3

8/09 36 42 17 5

7/09 36 42 17 5

6/09 33 32 30 5

4/09 33 26 34 7

1

6/10+ 38 28 10 46 7 39 15 1

Prior to May 2010, the question did not ask “And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Now, moving on… Q22 President Obama says he will not negotiate with Republicans in Congress about the health care law and the federal budget until Congress has reopened the government and raised the country’s debt ceiling limit. Do you agree or disagree with the president on this? If you do not know enough about this to have an opinion, please just say so and we will move on. (IF AGREE/DISAGREE, ASK:) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (agree/disagree) with the president on this?  Strongly agree ...................... Somewhat agree .................. Somewhat disagree ............. Strongly disagree ................. Don’t know enough to say ... Not sure ..............................

30 10 7 36 16 1

5/610/101 38 28 10 44 6 38 17 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013

Study #13413 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, switching topics slightly… Q23a/b Thinking again about the new health care law, would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding for the new health care law? (IF “FAVOR”, ASK:) Would you favor totally eliminating federal funding for the health care law, even if this meant continuing a partial shutdown of the federal government?   Favor Even if it means continuing the government shutdown ........ Not if it means continuing the government shutdown ........... Not sure ................................................................................ Oppose ................................................................................... Not sure ...............................................................................

39 23 13 3 50 11

CNBC – September 2013 Thinking again about the new health care law, would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding for the new health care law? (IF “FAVOR,” ASK:) Would you favor totally eliminating federal funding for the health care law, even if this meant shutting down the federal government and having the government default on its debts? Favor Even if it means government shut-down and default............ Not if it means government shut-down and default .............. Not sure ............................................................................... Oppose .................................................................................. Not sure ..............................................................................

38 19 15 4 44 18

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1a Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]? Registered ......................................... Not registered .................................... Not sure...........................................

86 14 -

QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in last November's election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Yes, Voted Voted for Barack Obama ............................. Voted for Mitt Romney ................................. Voted for someone else ............................... Not sure ....................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................... Not sure .....................................................

44 35 6 5 10 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ....................................................... Some high school ................................................ High school graduate .......................................... Some college, no degree..................................... Vocational training/school.................................... 2-year college degree .......................................... 4-year college/bachelor's degree......................... Some postgraduate work, no degree .................. 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree..... Doctoral/law degree ............................................ Not sure/refused ................................................

5 24 15 3 11 24 2 11 5 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES October 2013 QF3

Study #13413 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................................... Not very strong Democrat .................................. Independent/lean Democrat .............................. Strictly Independent ........................................... Independent/lean Republican ............................ Not very strong Republican ............................... Strong Republican ............................................. Other (VOL) ....................................................... Not sure ...........................................................

QF4

17 11 15 19 13 7 12 4 2

Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

Yes ......................... No .......................... Depends (VOL) .... Not sure ...............

10/79/13+ 20 70 2 8

9/13+ 21 67 3 9

7/13+ 21 67 3 9

6/13+ 24 65 3 8

2/13+ 20 64 4 12

1/13+ 23 63 4 10

10/12+ 24 64 3 9

9/2630/12+ 25 66 2 7

9/1216/12+ 22 65 4 9

8/12+ 26 63 3 8

7/12+ 25 65 2 7

6/12+ 24 64 3 9

5/12+ 30 60 2 8

4/12+ 25 64 2 9

3/12+ 28 63 2 7

1/12+ 27 66 2 5

12/11+ 27 65 3 5

11/11+ 25 69 2 4

10/11+ 26 64 3 7

8/11+ 27 62 4 7

6/11+ 26 63 3 8

5/11+ 26 62 2 10

4/11+ 25 67 3 5

2/11+ 29 61 3 7

1/11+ 27 62 3 8

12/10+ 29 61 3 7

11/10+ 30 59 4 7

10/2830/10+ 28 61 3 8

10/1418/10+ 30 59 2 10

9/10+ 28 61 3 8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF5

Do you or an immediate family member living with you work for the federal government or a state or local government? (IF YES, SPECIFY, ACCEPT ALL THAT APPLY) Total Yes 20 Yes, federal ................ 9 Yes, state .................. 8 Yes, local.................... 5 No .............................. 79 Not sure.................... 1