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Numerical Modelling of Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge

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R. J . SOBEY, M.I.E. Aust., B. A. HARPER and G. M. MITCHELL

SUMv l ARY g a t i o n

De t a i l s

of

ar e

t r o p i c a l

pr e s e nt e d

c yc l one

or

de pt h- i nt e g r a t e d

f or m of

t he

t r o p i c a l

s ur f a c e

wi n d

U. S .

c yc l one

hur r i c a ne s .

c o a s t a l

l o c a t i o n

mo d e l .

Th e

d e f o r ma t i o n t he

us e

of

a na l y s i s

r e g i o n

i nc l udi ng

Ba t h y s t r o p h i c

has

and

i d e n t i f i e d

e x a mp l e s

ar e

Th e

t r o p i c a l

c ape s ,

s ur ge

s t or m

t o

g e ne r a t i ng

s ur ge .

S URGE

i n

a

at

l e a s t

t he

s us t a i ne d f o r

n o r ma l

r e s ul t wa t e r

of

g r a di e nt s ma t u r e

f ew

t he

body

t he

and

of

t i c u l a r o g i c a l are

and

t he

s pe e d

and

and

t he

t r a c k

pos e d

c o a s t l i n e s ,

l o s s

t i de )

I n

of

has

e s t i ma t e s

A

t he

i n

t he

c o mmu n i t i e s ,

de ve l ope d

S y s t e ms mo d e l ,

of

i s

k n o wn

g a t i o n

of

a ppl i e d

as

mo s t

e f f e c t s

of

of

s i z e ,

f l ow

f o r

g i v e n

and

a

f o r

and of

i s l a n d s ,

s t or m

c r i t i c a l

f o r

t o

ar e

a c c o mmo d a t e d

a

of by

c o mp r e h e n s i v e be e n

de t a i l e d

on a

t he

wa v e

o v e r c o me

by

s e n s i t i v i t y

has

be e n

t he

nor t he r n

c he c ke d

a g a i ns t

Au s t r a l i a n

s i t ua t i o n ( s ur ge

t i de

i s

a

t he

l y i ng and

de s i gn

and

s ur ge

t r a c k

t i me

i s

a

i n

Pa r t i c u l a r

qui t e

c o ns i de r a bl e

e s p e c i a l l y

wa t e r

t he

of

has

p r o b l e ms

out put

s o f t wa r e

f orm

a t t e nt i o n

l e v e l

wi t h i n

c o mp r e h e n s i v e

d o c u me n t e d

( 4 ) .

and

and

a n y wh e r e

a

be e n

of

i nput

dat a

s e l e c t i o n

n u me r i c a l

not

n e w,

s t or m

i c a l

s ur ge and

of

t he

a

of

t he

I n

of

wa v e

pr opagat i on

and

e xt e nt

t he i n

uni que

of

t he

t he

of

of

c o mp l e x

me t e o r o l o g -

s ui t a bl e

s a t i s f a c t o r y

d i s c r e t i s e d

a t t e nt i o n

a s pe c t s

p a r t i c u l a r ,

s p e c i f i c a t i o n

s t r u c t u r e

s pe c i a l

l ong

n u mb e r

p r o b l e m.

c o ndi t i o ns

s t or m

r e qui r e

ar e

g e o phy s i c a l

f o r c i n g ,

boundar y

mo d e l l i n g

t he r e

ope n

r e s o l ut i o n

f orm a l l

( 1 1 ) .

MATHEMATI CAL

2

F ORMULATI ON

r e s pons e

i c a l t he

f o r c i ng f u l l

of

a

h o mo g e n e o u s

of

a

t r o pi c a l

Na v i e r - S t o k e s

i n c o mp r e s s i b l e of

t he s e

ar e

and Th e

f l u i d

ade quat e

d e s c r i p t i o n of t i de s

t w o - d i me n s i o n a l

Re y n o l d s Th e s e and

e quat i ons

t he

x

and

be

l ong

y

t he

of

and

onl y

and/ or

a ne c e s s -

t he An

pr opagat i on

s ur ge )

t he

and

appe ar

can

i nt e g r a t e d

Lo n g

Wa v e

be

had

f or m of

Eq u a t i o n s

c o ns e r v a t i o n

mo me n t u m i n t i me

s o l ut i o ns

i mp o r t a n t .

wa v e

s t or m

r e pr e s e nt

c o ns e r v a t i o n

di r e c t i o ns

wo u l d

by

h o mo g e n e o u s ,

f e a s i b l e

d i f f e r e n c e

and

-

a

n u me r i c a l

v e r t i c a l l y

Eq u a t i o n s

f o r

me t e o r o l o g -

de s c r i be d

not

ye t

s t r u c t u r e ma y

( a s t r o n o mi c a l

t he

i s

Di r e c t

de ns i t y

f l ow

t o

as

s o l ut i o n

v e r t i c a l

a mo d e l

wh e r e

Eq u a t i o n s

f l u i d .

e quat i ons

s e a

c yc l one

f rom t he

( 1 6 ) .

of

ma s s

ho r i z o nt a l

t :

pr opa-

and I t

can

be

i nc l ude s

8r | 8t

3U

3V

^ + = 0 ( 1) zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIH dx dy

o f f s ho r e

f e a t u r e s ,

as

we l l

can

be t o

wa t e r

Bi + A r. 8 x ^n- d

8t

Tr o p i c a l

s i mu l a t i o n of

of

of

n u me r i c a l

l a nd.

c ont our s

s ur ge

Ci v i l

( 1 1 ) .

c o a s t a l

a

of

ge ne r al

s t or m

t he

any

h i s t o r i e s

S URGE

f u l l y

t h r e e - d i me n s i o n a l

Un i v e r s i t y .

b a t h y me t r y ,

t hr oughout

t he

g e ne r a t i o n

r e g i o ns

i n t e n s i t y

s t or m

h y d r o d y n a mi c

Co o k

t o

i s

at

t i me

pr e s e nt a t i o n.

Th e

ex-

l and

l e v e l

pr o t e c t i o n

De p a r t me n t

a r e a .

c ha r a c t e r par -

c y c l o ne ,

l y i ng

r e l i a b l e

J a me s

ot he r

p a t t e r n s ,

i n

bas e d

c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s

e s t ua r i e s )

a s t r o n o mi c a l

t he

c yc l one

l ow

mo d e l

wi t h

mo d e l s

pr obl e m has

p r o f i l e s

v e l o c i t y

f o r ma t

Wh i l e i s

t he s e

d a ma g e

l ow

n u me r i c a l

t he a t

pr o c e dur e ,

by

A

pr opa-

u n d e r wa t e r and

wa t e r

Au s t r a l i a

unde r s e a

r e e f s

c o nt i nuo us l y wa t e r

mo d e l

dat a

me t e o r o l -

Hi s t o r i c a l l y ,

f o r

c o a s t a l

f l o o di ng

c yc l one

t he

t he

a

t r o p i c a l

of

f l ow

by

t he at

he adl ands ,

s us t a i ne d

S URGE,

mo d e l

t r o pi c a l

t o

i s l a n d s , t he

wi t h i n

i s l a nds

t he

t he

a v a i l a bl e

c o n f i r me d

l e v e l s .

and

t w o - d i me n s i o n a l

p h y s i c a l

boundar y

s ur ge

and

t he

by

and

t he

p o t e n t i a l l y

a

of

e x t e n s i v e l y

gui de

s ur ge

wa v e

c o ns i de r a bl e

and

En g i n e e r i n g

h y d r o d y n a mi c

us e d

and

s o l v e s

pr e s s ur e

r e e f s

f l o o di ng

nor t he r n

c o a s t a l

t he

( bays ,

ne e d

s t r uc t ur e s

ope n

us e r ' s

Br i e f l y

t he

s t o r m,

hi g he s t

c o a s t a l

wa s

be e n

and

wa t e r

p a r a me t e r s

a r y

t o

t he

boundar y

t he

be e n

s ur f a c e ,

unde r l y i ng

n u mb e r

of

a

l e v e l .

r e s pons e

and

as

g e ne r a t i o n

d i f f e r e n c e

adapt i on

r e e f s

and

I t

k m)

s ur ge a

i s

s ubs t a nt i a l

f a c t o r s .

t he

i n

t o t a l

e xc e e ds

t o

a

o f f s ho r e

t he

l i f e . t he

bays ,

s ys t e m

ge ne r at e d

200

t he

t i d e .

r e s ul t e d

wh e n

( HAT)

of

a s t r o n o mi c a l

over

s c a l e

f e a t ur e s

have

a r i s e s

and

t he

r e g i o n

or de r of

s e n s i t i v e

t i de s

and

( of

t e r r a i n ,

c o a s t a l

we l l

r e s u l t i n g

pr oduc e d

t i d e .

on

Th e

s ur ge

s e a

t hat

s t r e s s e s

t opogr aphi c al

ove r bank

t he

a t mo s p h e r i c

e xt e nd

i mp a c t

i s

of

a c t i o n

s he ar

can

i n t e n s i t y

and

wa v e

above

c y c l o ne .

and

t he

l o c a l

mo t i o n

e x t r e me

c o a s t l i ne

s i t e

s t or m

l ong

a s t r o n o mi c a l

wi n d

i n t e n s i f i c a t i o n

d e v e l o p me n t

hur r i c a ne

hour s ,

c o mb i n e d

of

t r o p i c a l

l e ngt h

or

f or c e d

p e r i o d i c

an

t he

S URGE,

pr e s e nt e d.

s upe r e l e v a t i o n

a

as

f o r

as

f i n i t e

f rom

s o l u t i o n have

e f f e c t s

mo d e l

k n o wn

e x p l i c i t

c o a s t a l

c yc l one

me t e o r o l o g i c a l l y

as

of

a p p r o x i ma t i o n

p r i n c i p a l

an

e s t i ma t e d

n u me r i c a l

qua s i - no n- l i ne a r

c yc l one

mo d e l ,

p a r a me t e - r s

d e t a i l s

t he

S t o r m Ti d e

t he

t r o p i c a l

c yc l one

and of

Th e

us i ng

f o r c i ng

I NTRODUCTI ON

1

+

s t a b i l i t y

h y d r o d y n a mi c

s ur ge .

Eq u a t i o n s

pr e s s ur e

b a t h y me t r y

a na l y s i s

n u me r i c a l

s t or m

t r o pi c a l

i n

and

a

ge ne r al

Wa v e

and

ac c ur ac y

h i s t o r i c a l

an

as

a

Lo n g

Va r i a t i o n s s uc h

of

hur r i c a ne

3 y ^n- d

v a r i e d pr oduc e

.

l e v e l ,

- g ( , - d ) M_ dx

c n ^ ) ^ % i p„

3x

( , Pw

s x

) bx'

( 2)

3V _ 3t ( Pa pe r

C1 3 4 4

En g i n e e r s ,

s u b mi t t e d

Au s t r a l i a

Civil Engineering Transactions, 1982

on

t o 16

Th e

I n s t i t u t i o n

June

1981) .



3 x ^n- d

3y

n- d

of ( 3)

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zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E S T O R M S U R G E - zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQ Sobey , Harper & M itchell

152

Th e

x- y

l e v e l Th e i s

dat um p l a n e

wi t h

wa t e r

t he

i s l o c a t e d

a x i s

s ur f a c e

a t

di r e c t e d

e l e v a t i o n

t h e me a n

wa t e r

v e r t i c a l l y

wi t h

r e s pe c t

I QJ U

u p wa r d s . t o

bx

dat um

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA r][x,y,t ), t h e s e a be d i s d ( x , y ] wi t h r e s p e c t t o

d a t u m,

U

and

wi d t h ,

f

i

ma s s of

z

V

s t h e Co r i o l i s

de ns i t y

t he

a r e de pt h- i nt e g r a t e d

o f

t r o p i c a l

s ur f a c e

wi n d

r e s o l v e d

c yc l one

s he ar

i nt o

g r a di e nt s

o f

p

( x , y , t ) .

Th e

t hr ough

e f f e c t

T] , ( x , y , t ) ,

r e s o l v e d

s uc h

f o r e x a mp l e ,

t ha t ,

o f

s e abe d

i

i nt o

and

T^ y ,

bot t om

and

s t he

t hr ough

I Vh i t e

t h e

and

s t r e s s

c o mp o n e n t s

and

i

s r e pr e s -

At

v e c t o r

T-^ ^ ^ ^

wa t e r

Mo d i f i e d

f l ow

p e r u n i t

wi d t h

a c c o r di ng

h y d r a u l i c a l l y

v a l ue s

t o

t h e

r ough

Co l e b r o o k boundar y

A a r e adopt e d

o f

f l o o di ng ,

t he d e t a i l s

ne ar

be i ng

r e e f s pr e -

b e l o w.

Co n s e r v a t i o n

a n d Tj ^ y

s t age

t he

ne g l e c t i ng

a c c e l e r a t i o n s . r e t a i ne d

MOLECULES

Eq u a t i o n -

t h i s

i s e d ,

r e g i o ns :

COMP UTATI ONAL

Ma s s

f o r a

f o r ove r bank

s e nt e d

T AB L E

S URGE

t he t o t a l

de pt h- de pe nde nt

f o r mu l a

l a y e r . and

t he x

( U^ + V^ ) ' ^ i s

Q =

(4) zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXW

A i s t h e D a r c y - We i s b a c h f r i c t i o n f a c t o r , zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFE

a s s u me d

i nf l ue nc e

( n- d) 2

pr e s s ur e

s t r e s s

i n bl ue

wh e r e

u n i t

T5 ( x , y , t ) ,

a t mo s p h e r i c

s he a r

pe r

and

f o r c i ng

v e c t o r

T^ y-

t h e M. S . L.

t h e

Th e

i s r e pr e s e nt e d

s t r e s s

c o mp o n e n t s

y

e nt e d

p a r a me t e r

s e a wa t e r .

f l o ws

8

a s

t he y

e quat i ons t h e

a r e

( n o r ma l l y

I n S URGE

a l l

pr e s e nt

no

s o me t i me s s ma l l )

t e r ms

have

p a r t i c u l a r

l i n e a r -

c o nv e c t i v e be e n n u me r i c a l

I

AND

F I NI T E

DI F F E RE NCE

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfed

EQUATI ONS

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

0 ® l -i s

X Mo me n t u n

i- h

l i i

Eq u a t i o n -

j Ay

Y Mo me n t u m Eq u a t i o n -

0

nth

- ( H )

n-H

( u)

i

nAt

( i +>i ) i j i

( J ) -

nAt

( H ) -

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA (v) ®

1+1

]

( j +* i ) Ay

j +1

i

-

2Ax

2Ay

« ° \ +H, j

- ( H )

(2>

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZY

( 1 + y Ax

{

T + l i+ ^

i +1

j

( j - f sJAx

j +1

i 4

Cl. 1+^. zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONML ' < + ! .,+ , - ^ " ; : L+ ^ ' S ^ °-l.i

' l - . W ^UW h ' "''l . i + l 'i \^- h ' ''^ l . i - ^ zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA 2 Ay

A: !

) A t : / [ 1 + At | / ( > ^ ^ , j ) = *

/ m^^^.y ^

^

1,3+h

iy

i , J+''5

Ay

"' ^' . j ^, ) At

3 / [ 1 + At A

+ ( v ^ ; ^ ) ^ / 5 y/'_

J ( c)

The Institution of Engineers, Australia

T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E S T OR M S U R G E -

p r o b l e ms t e r ms

and

( s uc h

i n as

s o me

a t i o ns )

c an

A

i nput

o pt i o n

t e r ms

t o

S URGE

v e c t i v e

c a s e s

Co r i o l i s

e ve n

be

t he

and

c o mmo n l y

r e l a t i v e l y h o we v e r

be

o mi t t e d

a c c e l e r -

i mp o r t a n t

doe s

i nt o

ne g l e c t e d

c o nv e c t i v e

( 6 , 1 1 ) .

a l l o w

t he

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLK Sobey , Harper & M itchell zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXW 153 n u mb e r

s t agge r e d

t he

f l ow

V

c on-

a

t he

3

NUMERI CAL

mi d wa y

i n

e qua t i o ns ; Th e

f l ow

bank a

f i e l d ,

c o a s t a l

b a t h y me t r y g r i d

s quar e

v a l ue s ( x, y)

of

t he

and node

Wa t e r

s ur f a c e

( or

d)

B

P s / P wS

WX

i nt e g r a t e d t e r m

WY

=

a r e

U

t o

and

H

f l ow

V

Xg y / P w

on

a

( i Ax ,

j Ay ,

M. S . L.

and

b a r o me t r i c

a t

po i nt s

( i , j , n ) ,

s ur f a c e

,T^+h)

t he

wi n d

and

s ur f a c e

( i , j + %, n + J 5 )

( a)

D

ove r

s t r e s s

i nt e g r a t i o n

Eq u a t i o n s

1, 2

"l e a pf r o g "

by

l i s t e d

be i ng

e quat i on

at

s he ar

I n

and

a

boundar y

c o n s t r a i n t s , Eq u a t i o n s

b

a dj a c e nt

t o

t o g e t he r

( 8 ) .

1,

t he

o f

y

i n

Th e

t he

x

c a s e s

c annot

( 11)

and

t he

a ppr o pr i a t e

s o l ut i o n

by

be

ar e

s p e c i f i c a t i o n ( 4 ) .

c o n d i t i o n s , t he

s t i p u l a t i n g

c o a s t

a t

v a ni s hi ng

s e a

node s

node s

.

=

0

or

V"^*^

0

,

( 5)

c o mb i n a t i o n s

a l l o w

wi t h

t he

of

t he s e

n o r ma l

t he

c o mp o n e n t

c as e

r e p r e s e n t a t i o n

of

o f

c o n d i t i o n s ,

uni nt e r r upt e d

any

a r e a

of

f l o w,

c o a s t l i n e .

a t

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

i mp l e me n t e d

adopt e d of

i n

t he

c o n t i n u i t y

boundar y

one

s y s t e ma t i c c o ndi t i o ns

i s l a nd)

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The Institution of Engineers, Australia

of

t he

( 12)

a s s u mp t i o n

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r e e f

di s c ha r g e i on)

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we i r ,

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as

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s u b me r g e d

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( c)

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and

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a

l e v e l s

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pr e s s ur e

c o ndi t i o n

c o ndi t i o n

( 7)

( P o o - P s l i , j ^ / V

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ma t i o n

0.5

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Broa d.Crc ne d Weir Fric t ion Diagram.

r i s e

p o s i t i o n 3. Fi g ur e

2

Co a s t a l

f l o o di ng

boundar y

c o ndi t i o n

of

Suc h

and f a l l o f a

t h e g r i d

t h e ba t hy s t r o phi c

r e a s o na bl y a

l o we s t

t o

mo me n t u m

c y c l o ne

l e v e l s

t h e ope n

al ong t o

c y c l o ne

c o ndi t i o n

o ut s i de boundar y

t h e i n t e n s i t y a s

s h o wn

e nabl e s

r e a l i s t i c

t i de

boundar y

i nc l ude t h e

t h e t r o p i c a l

t h e t r o p i c a l

c ove r age ,

or de r

boundar y

i n r e s pons e

boundar y

r e a l i s t i c

wa t e r

i

o p t i ma l l e v e l s

and

n Fi g ur e u s e and

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Civil Engineering Transactions, 1982

T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E S T OR M S U R G E

-

155 zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLK Sobey , Harper & M itchell zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZY

c y c l o ne po s i t i o n

pr e s s ur e s ur g e

ba s i n

Fi g ur e

f l ow t he

be i ng

pa t t e r ns

bo unda r i e s .

e l s e wh e r e

( i i i )

l e v e l s

Th i s

f or m

us e d

i n

wa t e r ( e . g.

" i j

al t hough

o f

no

a

t he

s c a l e t o

a

i n

by

t h i s

boundar y

c o ndi t i o n

t o

of

t he

f o r me r

at

t he

t r o p i c a l

t he

i s

ma d e

t ha t

f a c t

our i s

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by

t h i s

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of

of

of

t he

NHRP t he

mo d e l ,

o mi t t e d f e a t ur e s

The Institution

i n of

of

par -

be e n

and

wi n d

f r om

Th e

Nu n n

f o r ms

mo d e l

( 2, 15)

t he

unde r

( NHRP )

of

b a s i s

of

S URGE .

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c l a i m

s a t i s f a c t o r y ;

c y c l o ne

e s p e c i a l l y i n

t he t he

ne a r - s ur f a c e

e n t i r e l y

adopt e d

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dur i ng

Pr o j e c t

i n

t he ar e

t he

wi n d

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of

a

a l t e r n a t i v e .

hi g hl y s uc h

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l i n e

wi n d s

1 DI V =

VECTOR SCALE t he

and

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a

and

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t r o p i c a l

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has

of t he

Bu r e a u

i s

pg

f o l l o ws

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mo d e l

f r om

I t

v e l o c i t y

p r o f i l e s

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body

f i e l d

Re s e a r c h

k n o wl e d g e

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Gr a h a m a n d

We a t h e r

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mo r e

a

ope n

Ty p i c a l pr e s s ur e

t he n

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i n t e r f a c e .

f l ow

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s t r u c t u r e

f a r

as

pr e s s ur e

a i r - s e a

Hu r r i c a n e

i n

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a l l o ws

l e v e l s

t r o p i c a l

unde r l y i ng

s u i t a b l e

U. S .

l e v e l s

( a)

a t

F ORCI NG

t he

t he

i n i t i a l l y

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wa t e r

l e v e l s

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c y c l o ne

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( v i z .

c o a s t .

t r o p i c a l a

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be

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a

of

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s ur ge

pas s age

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t wo

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Xs

c an

pr e s s ur e

wa t e r

s c a l e ,

o f

of

t he

wi t h

t he

of

p. v

( i i ) above ,

f o r c i n g ,

t hr oughout

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s uppl i e d

Th e

e s t i ma t i o n

adopt i on

t o

a s s u me d .

us e d

CYCLONE

t he

s t r e s s

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i s

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h y d r o d y n a mi c s

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wh e r e

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c o ndi t i o n

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a ppl i e d

t i me

s e c t i o n

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ar e

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a s t r o n o mi c a l )

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T ROP I CAL

Th e

wi t h

Ad d i t i o n a l l y

i nput s

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I nput s ,

s e t

i nput ,

boundar y

and

appr oac h,

t i c u l a r

Ba t h y s t r o p h i c

( 9)

ope n

i s

and

l a r g e

6

t i d a l

Le v e l a r e

me t e o r o l o g i c a l

B. S . T. ,

adde d.

Wa t e r

i n t e r a c t i o n

a ppr o pr i a t e

mo d e l "

c l o s e

d i s c u s s i o n s

l e v e l s

c o nj unc t i o n

M. S . L. ,

i n

of

-

me t e o r o l o g i c a l

or

obt ai ne d

De t a i l e d

De p e n d e n t

boundar y

wa t e r

Co n c e p t

( 3 , 1 1 ) .

T i me

ope n

3

as

of

of Engineers,

r a t e

of

o v e r - l a nd

f avour t he

e mp i r i c a l

of

a s pe c t s f i l l i n g

wi n d

Australia

c y c l o ne .

t he

ove r

s pe e ds ,

r e pr e s e nt i ng

t r o p i c a l

of

t he I n

l and have

l O. OOOM /S

o r i g i n a l and

( b)

Ty p i c a l f or

be e n

a

i s o v e l

mo v i n g

and

mo d e l

wi n d

v e c t o r

pa t t e r n

s t or m

ma j o r p a r t i c u l a r

Fi g ur e

4

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of

t r o p i c a l

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f o r c i ng

zyxwvutsrqp

T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E S T OR M S U R G E - zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTS Sobey , Harper & M itchell 156 zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

t he

r a d i a l

a t i o n of

o f

wi n d

t h e wi n d

t e r ms

and pr e s s ur e

t h e r a d i a l

o f

f i e l d

( i )

a

pr e s s ur e

( i i i )

m above

Ra d i u s

( i v)

Spe e d

S URGE

a l l o ws

t i nuo us l y

f o ur

De t a i l s

c hange s be

a r e s ke t c he d a

f o r a

a s s u me d

t y p i c a l

mo v i n g

W i o

a t

s he ar

t o be

mo d e l

s t r e s s

r e l a t e d

t o be

s t or m

l e v e l

i n Re f . l l .

i n Fi g ur e

on

s t or m

=

and t h e

s ur f a c e a r e

a s

Ci o p

b wh e r e

Ci o i

s a

( 1 0 )

d e v e l o p me n t

ove r

t h e r ange

s ur f a c e

A p p r o x i ma t e

o f

ac c or di ng

wi n d

s pe e ds

t o W u

f r i c t i o n

r e l a t i o n s

f o r

f o r o c e a ni c

o r

a ppl i -

( 1 7 ) a r e i nc o r po r a t e d

a t

r a da r , and

ot he r

t r a c e d

c r o s s e d

AND

t o

S E NS I T I VI T Y

I n i t i a l

v e r i f i c a t i o n

a

wi t h a

by

k n o wn

l ake

a g r e e me n t

s o l ut i o ns

t h e mo d e l

a n a l y t i c a l

r e c t a ng ul a r

Th e

o f

c o mp a r i s o n

wa s

mo r e

a

a l mo s t

c l o s e l y

f o r wi n d

c ons t ant e x a c t .

r e l a t e d

s t or m

45

s ur ge

wi n d Si nc e

t o ope n

o f

and

o f

o f

f l ow

Th e

v e l o c i t y o f

dat a

wa t e r

Th e

Bu r e a u

i

t appr oac he d

a n d e s t i ma t e d

c e n t r a l

t h e

pr e s s ur e

t o ma x i mu m w i n d s

c r o s s e d

To wn s v i l l e

2. 78 m above

or de r -

s hor e - bas e d

a s

s h e l f

pl us a n

p r o f i l e

l o c a t i o n s .

ALTHEA

s t or m

gauge s

t h e s ur ge No

t h e r a di us

Th e

doc uWa t e r

e nabl e d

t h e a i do f

p a r a me t e r s .

k m.

t i de

a ny r e c o r d

c o a s t a l

t h e pat h

km n o r t h

s ur ge

o f

t he r e

wi t h

t h e be s t

a n d Bo we n )

s ur ve ys

t h e c o nt i ne nt a l

35

To wn s v i l l e

Th e

i n

wa s

t h e c oas t

appr ox-

and r e g i s t e r e d

pr e di c t e d

t i de

l e v e l

a

a t

Ha r b o u r .

c o a s t a l

Bo we n

T E S T I NG

h y d r o d y n a mi c s

n u me r i c a l

s o l u t i o n

unde r

r a j R l L -T A N

o f

a u t o ma t i c

t h e c o a s t .

t han

9 5 2 mb

i ma t e l y

wa s

p r e d i c t i o n s e t up

r e g i o n

i n t h e s out h

a s

on

t he

a s

a

Gr e a t

br oke n

a

s h o wn

r e c o ns t r uc t e d s h o wn

a c c o mp l i s h e d

d o c u me n t e d

c y c l o ne

i n Au s t r a l i a .

To wn s v i l l e l e v e l

( 1 ) ,

me t e o r o l o g i c a l

po i nt s V E R I F I C A T I ON

f our

n o r wa s

Me t e o r o l o g y

r e pr e s e nt e d

MODEL

a

a n

wa s

Ci o

S URGE.

7

al ong

a v a i l a b l e ,

pe ak

n o n - d i me n s i o n a l

c o e f f i c i e n t .

c a t i o ns

Wi o '

f r om

Lu c i n d a ,

r e c o n s t r u c t i o n

f e l l

a

dr ag

wi t h

s pr o ba bl y

oc c ur

o f - ma g n i t u d e

of

o v e r - wa t e r

M. S . L.

t o

de br i s

l e v e l s

v e c t o r

1971 i

s ur ge

r e c o r ds

t y p i c a l l y T

a v a i l a b l e ,

v e r i f i c a t i o n

t r o p i c a l

po s t - c y c l o ne

wa s

4 a and

Th e

t h e wa t e r

Ra d i a l

a t mo s -

a n d wi n d

s t o r m.

c on-

i n t e n s i t y

a n d M. S . L.

10 m above Tg

v a r i e d

i n s t or m

i s o v e l

he i ght

c o mp a r i s o n

i n De c e mb e r

me n t e d

Q p^ o f

f ound

wi n d

a r e no t

d e t a i l e d

a n h i s t o r i c a l

( Mo u r i l y a n ,

4b

r e s u l t i n g

R.

p a r a me t e r s

ma y

i nv o l v i ng o f

s ur ge

t o

zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDC a t a he i ght o f Th e t r o p i c a l c y c l o ne ALTHEA s t o r m s u r g e n e a r T o wn s v i l l e

pr e s s ur e

s pe e d

r e c o r d

s t or m

appr oac h

M. S . L.

wi n d s

Fi g ur e

wi n d

adopt e d

t o

c y c l o ne

Vk ,

wi n d

phe r i c

pa t t e r n

i n

a s s u me d

mo v e me n t .

ne a r - s ur f a c e

s h o ws

t r o p i c a l

a l t e r n a t i v e

( 11) .

p^^ a t

ma x i mi mi

t o r e pr e s e nt

o f

and e xpr e s s e d

c o mmo n l y

Vp ^ a n d d i r e c t i o n

a l l

t r a c k .

p r o f i l e s

v a r i -

a s y mme t r y

M. S . L.

o f

f o r wa r d

t h e

a nd t h e

c y c l o ne :

Ma x i mu m s u s t a i n e d 10

and

p a r a me t e r s

t r o p i c a l

Ce n t r a l

( i i )

p r o f i l e s ,

angl e

a r e i nc l ude d

t h e f our

c h a r a c t e r i s e

i nf l o w

5

I n n i s f a i l

a nd up

t o

n

g r i d

mi l e

i n Fi g ur e

pa t h

s e r i e s Ba r r i e r

l i ne

f r om

o f

i n t h e no r t h km o f f s h o r e

s ys t e m

wh i c h

AL T HE A.

o f

i

t ha t

o f

Th e

s I ndi c a t e d ma i n t a i n

by

by t h e

a

40

a

c o a s t l i n e i b a r r i e r s

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30

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Fi g ur e

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Mo d e l

r e pr e s e nt a t i o n

r e g i o n Cy c l o n e

and t r a c k ALTHEA

o f

dur i ng

M a x i m u m W i t e r Level Enve lope A l o n g Coa st

To wn s v i l l e Tr o p i c a l

Fi g ur e

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S URGE

hi ndc a s t

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ALTHEA

o f

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zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcba

Civil Engineering Transactions, 1982

T R O PI C A L

s hi ppi ng of

pa s s a g e s .

i n f o r ma t i o n

t he

s i mu l t a n e o u s

c oul d

not

par e d

t o

be

S URGE

wi t h

t h i s

c o a r s e

dat a

n

mi l e

S E AS AT

s a t e l l i t e

Fi g ur e

7a

of

t he

pa r t has

of

a f t e r

t he

s t or m

r e e f s

and

t he

s t r ong

c o a s t l i n e

and

t hr ough

Fi g ur e

7b

s h o ws

M. S . L.

at

t he

I n

a ddi t i o n

r e c o r d,

a

t o

of

t o g e t he r

e x a mi n e d

and

r e s o l u t i o n An

R/ As

a r y

of

t he

an

t he

at

a c c ur a t e

s t or m

8

MODEL

S URGE

has

b a r r i e r t he

pa s s a g e s .

I

\,

above

an

de f i ne

of

r ange

wi n d 4

t he

of

ne e d and

1. a e e r i / s 1 OI V zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTS - 1 — I — I — I

VECTOR SCALE

f o r ms

t r o p i c a l wa s

s h o wn

Fl o w

v e l o c i t y

be f or e

ade quat e

s t or m

pa t t e r n

t hr e e

hour s

l a n d f a l l

s t r u c t u r e .

t o

of

( a)

a l s o

f o r

r e pr e s e nt a t i o n

unde r -

f r i c t i o n

pr e s s ur e

wa s

of

wa s

be d

WWW

l i k e l y

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t r a c k ,

t he

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t e s t i n g

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\\\

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